School of Public Administration, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, Chengdu, China.
School of Government, Sun Yat-Sen University, Guangzhou, China.
Sci Rep. 2023 Jan 5;13(1):253. doi: 10.1038/s41598-023-27576-6.
Long-term care insurance (LTCI) is garnering attention internationally and is being considered a public policy in a growing number of countries. Previous research has focused on the effects of LTCI in developed countries, ignoring the health outcomes of developing countries, especially in rural regions. Therefore, this study investigates whether different impact on health outcomes is present in the effects of LTCI between urban and rural residents in China. We employed a quasi-experimental design with data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Survey. The specific implementation time of each pilot city was sorted according to the LTCI policy texts, dividing these pilot cities into the treatment group and control group. Finally, difference-in-differences analyses were utilized to evaluate the health effects of LTCI between urban and rural residents, and the health effect in urban areas was further tested. The implementation of LTCI has effectively enhanced the self-rating health (SRH) of the entire group of residents; however, this effect may only be significant for the urban group. In particular, LTCI can increase the SRH of urban residents by 0.377 units compared to the urban residents without LTCI (P < 0.01). The result of the placebo effect test further verifies that LTCI could improve the health of residents to some extent. In China, LTCI may have triggered different impacts on health outcomes between urban and rural residents, and may not improve the SRH of rural residents and only prove efficacious for urban residents. Government and policy-makers should give more attention to the rural group as it needs long-term care the most.
长期护理保险(LTCI)在国际上受到关注,越来越多的国家正在考虑将其作为一项公共政策。先前的研究侧重于发达国家 LTCI 的影响,而忽略了发展中国家的健康结果,尤其是农村地区。因此,本研究调查了中国城乡居民 LTCI 效应是否存在不同的健康结果影响。我们采用了准实验设计,使用了来自中国健康与退休纵向调查的数据。根据 LTCI 政策文本对每个试点城市的具体实施时间进行排序,将这些试点城市分为处理组和对照组。最后,采用双重差分分析评估 LTCI 对城乡居民健康的影响,并进一步测试了城市地区的健康效应。LTCI 的实施有效地提高了全体居民的自评健康(SRH);然而,这种效果可能仅对城市居民具有统计学意义。具体而言,与没有 LTCI 的城市居民相比,LTCI 可以使城市居民的 SRH 提高 0.377 个单位(P<0.01)。安慰剂效应检验的结果进一步验证了 LTCI 可以在一定程度上改善居民的健康。在中国,LTCI 可能对城乡居民的健康结果产生了不同的影响,并且可能不会提高农村居民的自评健康,仅对城市居民有效。政府和政策制定者应该更加关注农村群体,因为他们最需要长期护理。