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诊断准确性测量报告的建议。

Recommendations for reporting measures of diagnostic accuracy.

作者信息

Vrbin Colleen M

机构信息

Analytical Insights, LLC, Allison Park, Pennsylvania, USA.

出版信息

Cytopathology. 2023 May;34(3):185-190. doi: 10.1111/cyt.13208. Epub 2023 Feb 13.

DOI:10.1111/cyt.13208
PMID:36648307
Abstract

This article serves as the third in a series that offers recommendations for optimal data reporting, specifically focusing on the statistical methods most frequently reported in Cytopathology articles. Measures of diagnostic accuracy were among the most commonly reported results in Cytopathology, with sensitivity and/or specificity reported in 32% of the reviewed articles. This article will provide a brief overview of common measures of diagnostic accuracy, including sensitivity, specificity, positive and negative predictive values, positive and negative likelihood ratios, overall diagnostic accuracy, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, and area under the curve (AUC). Reporting recommendations for these measures will be reviewed, including the suggestion of providing a 2 × 2 contingency table when possible, or numerator and denominator values for calculations when all values needed for a contingency table are not known, and calculation of ROC and AUC if relevant. Additionally, paired measures should be reported, including sensitivity with specificity, positive with negative predictive values, and positive with negative likelihood ratios. Calculating 95% confidence intervals (CI) for the measures is recommended, with several methods to choose from, including the Wald interval, Wilson interval, Clopper-Pearson interval, Agresti-Coull interval, and Bayesian highest posterior density (HPD) interval. Since there are various methods for CI calculations, the author encourages the reader to consult with a trained statistician to identify the most appropriate method based on the data, which should be reported in the methods section of the resulting write-up.

摘要

本文是系列文章中的第三篇,提供了关于优化数据报告的建议,特别关注细胞病理学文章中最常报告的统计方法。诊断准确性的衡量指标是细胞病理学中最常报告的结果之一,在32%的综述文章中报告了敏感性和/或特异性。本文将简要概述诊断准确性的常见衡量指标,包括敏感性、特异性、阳性和阴性预测值、阳性和阴性似然比、总体诊断准确性、受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线和曲线下面积(AUC)。将回顾这些指标的报告建议,包括建议尽可能提供2×2列联表,或者在列联表所需的所有值未知时提供计算的分子和分母值,以及在相关时计算ROC和AUC。此外,应报告配对指标,包括敏感性与特异性、阳性与阴性预测值、阳性与阴性似然比。建议计算这些指标的95%置信区间(CI),有几种方法可供选择,包括Wald区间、Wilson区间、Clopper-Pearson区间、Agresti-Coull区间和贝叶斯最高后验密度(HPD)区间。由于CI计算有多种方法,作者鼓励读者咨询训练有素的统计学家,以根据数据确定最合适的方法,并应在最终报告的方法部分中报告。

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