Faculty of Biosciences and Aquaculture, Nord University, Bodø 1049, Norway.
National Institute of Water and Atmosphere, Hamilton 3251, New Zealand.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2023 Jan 24;120(4):e2120869120. doi: 10.1073/pnas.2120869120. Epub 2023 Jan 19.
Observed range shifts of numerous species support predictions of climate change models that species will shift their distribution northward into the Arctic and sub-Arctic seas due to ocean warming. However, how this is affecting overall species richness is unclear. Here we analyze 20,670 scientific research trawls from the North Sea to the Arctic Ocean collected from 1994 to 2020, including 193 fish species. We found that demersal fish species richness at the local scale has doubled in some Arctic regions, including the Barents Sea, and increased at a lower rate at adjacent regions in the last three decades, followed by an increase in species richness and turnover at a regional scale. These changes in biodiversity correlated with an increase in sea bottom temperature. Within the study area, Arctic species' probability of occurrence generally declined over time. However, the increase in species from southern latitudes, together with an increase in some Arctic species, ultimately led to an enrichment of the Arctic and sub-Arctic marine fauna due to increasing water temperature consistent with climate change.
观测到的许多物种的分布范围变化支持了气候变化模型的预测,即由于海洋变暖,物种将向北迁移到北极和亚北极海域。然而,这对整体物种丰富度的影响尚不清楚。在这里,我们分析了 1994 年至 2020 年期间从北海到北冰洋采集的 20670 次科学研究拖网调查,其中包括 193 种鱼类。我们发现,在过去三十年中,一些北极地区(包括巴伦支海)的底栖鱼类物种丰富度在局部范围内增加了一倍,而相邻地区的增加速度较低,随后在区域范围内增加了物种丰富度和更替。这些生物多样性的变化与海床温度的升高有关。在研究区域内,北极物种的出现概率总体上随时间呈下降趋势。然而,由于气候变化导致水温上升,来自低纬度地区的物种增加,再加上一些北极物种的增加,最终导致北极和亚北极海洋动物群的丰富度增加。