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在异质环境中蚊虫传播疾病的基本繁殖率。

Basic reproduction ratio of a mosquito-borne disease in heterogeneous environment.

机构信息

School of Mathematics, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, 211106, China.

Key Laboratory of Mathematical Modelling and High Performance Computing of Air Vehicles (NUAA), MIIT, Nanjing, 211106, China.

出版信息

J Math Biol. 2023 Jan 25;86(3):32. doi: 10.1007/s00285-023-01867-y.

Abstract

To explore the influence of spatial heterogeneity on mosquito-borne diseases, we formulate a reaction-diffusion model with general incidence rates. The basic reproduction ratio [Formula: see text] for this model is introduced and the threshold dynamics in terms of [Formula: see text] are obtained. In the case where the model is spatially homogeneous, the global asymptotic stability of the endemic equilibrium is proved when [Formula: see text]. Under appropriate conditions, we establish the asymptotic profiles of [Formula: see text] in the case of small or large diffusion rates, and investigate the monotonicity of [Formula: see text] with respect to the heterogeneous diffusion coefficients. Numerically, the proposed model is applied to study the dengue fever transmission. Via performing simulations on the impacts of certain factors on [Formula: see text] and disease dynamics, we find some novel and interesting phenomena which can provide valuable information for the targeted implementation of disease control measures.

摘要

为了探究空间异质性对蚊媒传染病的影响,我们构建了一个具有广义感染率的反应扩散模型。引入了该模型的基本再生数[Formula: see text],并得到了关于[Formula: see text]的阈值动力学。在模型空间均匀的情况下,当[Formula: see text]时,证明了地方病平衡点的全局渐近稳定性。在适当的条件下,我们建立了小扩散率或大扩散率情况下[Formula: see text]的渐近形状,并研究了[Formula: see text]关于非均匀扩散系数的单调性。数值上,我们将所提出的模型应用于登革热传播的研究。通过对某些因素对[Formula: see text]和疾病动力学的影响进行模拟,我们发现了一些新颖有趣的现象,这些现象可以为有针对性地实施疾病控制措施提供有价值的信息。

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