Wang Gang, Chao Yuechao, Chen Zeshao
School of Energy and Power Engineering, Northeast Electric Power University, Jilin City, 132012, Jilin, China.
School of Engineering Science, University of Science and Technology of China, Hefei, 230027, Anhui, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Apr;30(16):45936-45950. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25607-3. Epub 2023 Jan 30.
This paper aims at facilitating the developments of solar photovoltaic (PV) power and wind power generations to reduce carbon emission and achieve the carbon neutralization. The main novelty of this study is developing a new partnership comprised by the green energy investment company (GEIC), solar power plant (SPP), and offshore wind power plant (OWPP) and analyzing the impacts of typical factors on the coordinated development of SPP and OWPP based on the evolutionary game theoretical method. By using a tripartite evolutionary game model, the stability analysis of equilibrium strategy is carried out. The simulation results show that stable states could be realized under different partnerships. Impact investigation results of typical influential factors on all participants indicate that longer annual operation time, higher price of electricity sold to the power grid, and larger government subsidy will lead to more incomes for the SPP and OWPP, which will strengthen the participation willingness of all participants. For this study, the on-grid price of the SPP should be greater than 0.054 $/kWh. A reasonable investment ratio of the SPP and OWPP is the guarantee for the smooth development of the PPP project, which is suggested to be 4:6 in this study. The results of the current study have certain reference value for the policy and strategy formulations for facilitating the developments of solar PV power and offshore wind power generations.
本文旨在推动太阳能光伏发电和风力发电的发展，以减少碳排放并实现碳中和。本研究的主要创新点在于建立了一个由绿色能源投资公司（GEIC）、太阳能发电厂（SPP）和海上风力发电厂（OWPP）组成的新型合作伙伴关系，并基于演化博弈理论方法分析典型因素对太阳能发电厂和海上风力发电厂协同发展的影响。通过使用三方演化博弈模型，对均衡策略进行稳定性分析。仿真结果表明，在不同的合作伙伴关系下都可以实现稳定状态。典型影响因素对所有参与者的影响调查结果表明，更长的年运行时间、更高的上网电价以及更大的政府补贴将为太阳能发电厂和海上风力发电厂带来更多收入，这将增强所有参与者的参与意愿。对于本研究，太阳能发电厂的上网电价应大于0.054美元/千瓦时。太阳能发电厂和海上风力发电厂合理的投资比例是公私合营项目顺利发展的保障，本研究建议为4:6。本研究结果对促进太阳能光伏发电和海上风力发电发展的政策和战略制定具有一定的参考价值。
