Deerochanawong Chaicharn, Krittayaphong Rungroj, Romano Jack Garcia Uranga, Rhee Nicolai A, Permsuwan Unchalee
College of Medicine, Ministry of Public Health, Rajavithi Hospital, Rangsit University, Bangkok, 10400, Thailand.
Division of Cardiology, Department of Medicine, Faculty of Medicine Siriraj Hospital, Mahidol University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Diabetes Ther. 2023 Mar;14(3):531-552. doi: 10.1007/s13300-023-01371-y. Epub 2023 Jan 31.
Liraglutide has demonstrated a significant reduction in the primary major composite cardiovascular (CV) outcome (CV death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke). This study aimed to determine the cost-utility of adding liraglutide to the standard of care (SoC) for treating type 2 diabetes (T2D) in Thailand for three cohorts: people with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), with no ASCVD, and all people with T2D.
A Markov model was developed to capture the long-term costs and outcomes under the perspective of the healthcare system. Costs were based on local data, the transitional probabilities were derived from the LEADER trial, and utilities were derived from published studies. Future costs and outcomes were discounted at 3% annually. A series of sensitivity analyses were performed.
Compared to SoC, adding liraglutide incurred higher costs and gained more quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), yielding incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) of above 1 million Thai baht (THB) for the three cohorts. The most influential parameter was the discount rate. When the annual cost of liraglutide reduced from 87,874 to 30,340 THB, 30,116 THB, and 31,617 THB for all people with T2D, people with ASCVD, and people without ASCVD, respectively, the ICER fell below the local threshold of 160,000 THB/QALY. Compared to the SoC treatment, the liraglutide group acquired more clinical benefit in terms of fewer CVD. Sensitivity analyses revealed that with an increase in the level of willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold, adding liraglutide had an increased chance of being a cost-effective strategy.
Compared to the SoC treatment, adding liraglutide at the current cost is not cost-effective at the local WTP. People with T2D with ASCVD would have the most potential gain from adding liraglutide treatment compared to other populations.
利拉鲁肽已证明可显著降低主要重大复合心血管(CV)结局(CV死亡、非致死性心肌梗死、非致死性中风)。本研究旨在确定在泰国将利拉鲁肽添加到2型糖尿病(T2D)标准治疗(SoC)方案中,对于三个队列人群的成本效益:患有动脉粥样硬化性心血管疾病(ASCVD)的人群、无ASCVD的人群以及所有T2D患者。
建立了一个马尔可夫模型,以从医疗保健系统的角度捕捉长期成本和结局。成本基于当地数据,转移概率来自LEADER试验,效用值来自已发表的研究。未来成本和结局按每年3%进行贴现。进行了一系列敏感性分析。
与SoC相比,添加利拉鲁肽会产生更高的成本,但能获得更多的质量调整生命年(QALY),三个队列的增量成本效益比(ICER)均高于100万泰铢(THB)。最具影响力的参数是贴现率。当利拉鲁肽的年成本分别降至30,340泰铢、30,116泰铢和31,617泰铢时(分别针对所有T2D患者、患有ASCVD的患者和无ASCVD的患者),ICER降至当地阈值160,000泰铢/QALY以下。与SoC治疗相比,利拉鲁肽组在减少心血管疾病方面获得了更多临床益处。敏感性分析表明,随着支付意愿(WTP)阈值水平的提高,添加利拉鲁肽成为具有成本效益策略的可能性增加。
与SoC治疗相比,按当前成本添加利拉鲁肽在当地WTP水平下不具有成本效益。与其他人群相比,患有ASCVD的T2D患者从添加利拉鲁肽治疗中获得的潜在收益最大。