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基于新型混合奇异值分解的长短期记忆网络预测美国萨凡纳河连续点溶解氧浓度的潜力

The potential of novel hybrid SBO-based long short-term memory network for prediction of dissolved oxygen concentration in successive points of the Savannah River, USA.

作者信息

Roushangar Kiyoumars, Davoudi Sina, Shahnazi Saman

机构信息

Department of Water Resources Engineering, Faculty of Civil Engineering, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran.

Center of Excellence in Hydroinformatics, University of Tabriz, Tabriz, Iran.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Apr;30(16):46960-46978. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25539-y. Epub 2023 Feb 3.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-25539-y
PMID:36735128
Abstract

The accurate estimation of dissolved oxygen (DO) as an important water quality indicator can provide a basis for ensuring the preservation of the riverine ecosystem and designing proper water quality development plans. Therefore, this study aimed to propose a novel hybrid model based on long short-term memory (LSTM) networks with Satin Bowerbird optimizer (SBO) algorithm for the estimation of the DO concentration based on multiple water quality parameters. Furthermore, to compare the supreme performance of proposed hybrid model, standalone LSTM, support vector machine (SVM) and Gaussian process regression (GPR) were employed. The models were prepared using the datasets collected from three successive gauging stations along the Savannah River, USA, for the period 2015-2021. The modeling process was performed through local and cross-station scenarios to assess the interrelations between the DO values of upstream/downstream stations. The comparison of estimation accuracies of different employed models revealed that the proposed SBO-LSTM yields a correlation coefficient (R) of 0.981, Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) of 0.957, and root mean square error (RMSE) of 0.034 for a test series of dissolved oxygen series which was the most accurate model through both local and cross-station scenarios. Also, the proposed SBO-LSTM model showed better performance by 0.52% and 1.26% than employed SVM and GPR models, respectively. The obtained results showed the essential role of the water temperature parameter in the DO modeling of all three studied stations.

摘要

作为一项重要的水质指标,准确估算溶解氧(DO)可为确保河流生态系统的保护及制定适当的水质发展规划提供依据。因此,本研究旨在提出一种基于长短期记忆(LSTM)网络和缎蓝亭鸟优化器(SBO)算法的新型混合模型,用于基于多个水质参数估算溶解氧浓度。此外,为比较所提出混合模型的最佳性能,还采用了独立的LSTM、支持向量机(SVM)和高斯过程回归(GPR)。这些模型是使用从美国萨凡纳河沿岸三个连续测量站在2015 - 2021年期间收集的数据集构建的。建模过程通过本地和跨站场景进行,以评估上游/下游站溶解氧值之间的相互关系。不同所用模型估算精度的比较表明,对于溶解氧系列测试集,所提出的SBO - LSTM的相关系数(R)为0.981,纳什 - 萨特克利夫效率(NSE)为0.957,均方根误差(RMSE)为0.034,在本地和跨站场景中都是最准确的模型。此外,所提出的SBO - LSTM模型分别比所用的SVM和GPR模型性能高出0.52%和1.26%。所得结果表明水温参数在所有三个研究站的溶解氧建模中的重要作用。

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