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自然灾害对能源技术创新的空间溢出效应——基于省级面板数据的实证证据

Spatial spillover effects of natural hazards on energy technology innovation-empirical evidence from provincial panel data.

作者信息

Liang Shan, Zhang Huiming, Zhang Zhiwen

机构信息

School of Management Science and Engineering, Nanjing University of Information Science & Technology, Nanjing, 210044, China.

Research Centre for Soft Energy Sciences, Nanjing University of Aeronautics and Astronautics, Nanjing, 211100, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Apr;30(16):47106-47118. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-25546-z. Epub 2023 Feb 3.

Abstract

Energy technology innovation is the necessary way and fundamental means to lead, promote, and support the revolution of energy production and consumption. While natural hazards, as an unavoidable external risk in the long-term development of human society, may affect the regional energy innovation level. In this study, we use the SDM bifixed model to investigate the direct, indirect, and aggregate effects of natural hazards on energy technology innovation for data of 31 provinces in China from 2011 to 2020. Results indicate that (1) Natural hazards not only have a significant negative impact on local energy technology innovation, but also inhibit energy technology innovation in neighboring regions, with significant spatial spillover effects. (2) Natural hazards have a more pronounced effect in western cities. (3) Natural hazards can enhance energy technology innovation through increasing environmental regulation and reducing FDI. Our study offers suggestions for strengthening post-natural disaster reconstruction and sub-regional resilience to disaster shocks, improving environmental regulation laws and regulations, and attracting more foreign direct investment.

摘要

能源技术创新是引领、推动和支撑能源生产与消费革命的必由之路和根本手段。而自然灾害作为人类社会长期发展中不可避免的外部风险,可能会影响区域能源创新水平。在本研究中,我们使用空间杜宾双固定效应模型,针对2011年至2020年中国31个省份的数据,研究自然灾害对能源技术创新的直接、间接和总体影响。结果表明:(1)自然灾害不仅对当地能源技术创新有显著的负面影响,还会抑制邻近地区的能源技术创新,具有显著的空间溢出效应。(2)自然灾害在西部城市的影响更为显著。(3)自然灾害可通过加强环境规制和减少外国直接投资来促进能源技术创新。我们的研究为加强灾后重建和提升区域抗灾能力、完善环境规制法律法规以及吸引更多外国直接投资提供了建议。

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