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孟加拉国交通运输部门的燃料替代可能性、环境与技术进步

Fuels substitution possibilities, environment and the technological progress in Bangladesh's transport sector.

作者信息

Raza Muhammad Yousaf

机构信息

School of Economics, Shandong Technology and Business University, Yantai, Shandong, 255000, China.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2023 Jan 29;9(2):e13300. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e13300. eCollection 2023 Feb.

Abstract

The transport sector is a key engine of Bangladesh's quick oil demand growth. It accounted for 64.4% of overall Bangladesh oil consumption in 2019 and is, therefore, a third contributor to CO emissions and related pollutants. The substitutability of energy and non-energy factors is the key issue in framing and planning energy policies. Therefore, we determine a translog production function for the transport sector, including inputs labor, capital and energy. The research analyzes factor output and substitution possibilities from 1990 to 2019. Outcomes show (a) labor output elasticity is higher, followed by energy and capital. (b) All the substituting factors are rising return to scale, with relatively high substitution (around 1.63-2.05, 1.05-1.06, 0.77-0.92) between capital-labor, capital-energy and labor-energy, which proposes that the substitution between capital-labor and capital-energy could be attained through updating technology. Therefore, by giving maximum capital to the transport sector, appropriate energy-conserving technology could be maximally encouraged, and capital-energy substitutability would have better results in the future. (c) Though, technical progress is calculated to be between 0.009 and 0.14 between the various inputs. The input labor-energy is quicker substitutes with their relative difference in technological progress, while capital also presents proof of convergence. By assigning additional capital to the transport sector, energy-saving technologies could be enhanced and CO emissions reduction could be achieved. Finally, advancement in capital and skilled labor and, thus, substitution between energy-labor and the transition of labor-capital can be achieved.

摘要

交通运输部门是孟加拉国石油需求快速增长的关键驱动力。2019年,该部门占孟加拉国石油总消费量的64.4%,因此是碳排放及相关污染物的第三大来源。能源与非能源因素的可替代性是制定和规划能源政策的关键问题。因此,我们确定了交通运输部门的超越对数生产函数,其中包括劳动力、资本和能源等投入要素。该研究分析了1990年至2019年期间的要素产出及替代可能性。结果表明:(a)劳动力产出弹性较高,其次是能源和资本。(b)所有替代要素均呈现规模报酬递增,资本-劳动力、资本-能源和劳动力-能源之间的替代率相对较高(约为1.63 - 2.05、1.05 - 1.06、0.77 - 0.92),这表明资本-劳动力和资本-能源之间的替代可以通过技术更新来实现。因此,通过向交通运输部门投入最大资本,可以最大程度地鼓励采用适当的节能技术,并且资本-能源替代在未来会产生更好的效果。(c)不过,计算得出不同投入要素之间的技术进步率在0.009至0.14之间。投入的劳动力-能源因其技术进步的相对差异而更快地相互替代,同时资本也呈现出收敛的迹象。通过向交通运输部门分配额外资本,可以加强节能技术并实现碳排放减少。最后,可以实现资本和熟练劳动力的进步,从而实现能源-劳动力之间的替代以及劳动力-资本的转型。

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