Martini Elvira
Department of Law, University "G. Fortunato", Benevento, Italy.
Front Sociol. 2023 Jan 25;7:1102815. doi: 10.3389/fsoc.2022.1102815. eCollection 2022.
The challenge of contemporary society is that of planning possible paths for the future. In the current scenario of hyperconnection, men and technologies and human and artificial intelligence are intertwined in such complex ways as to generate multiple possible futures up to the limit of the capacity of imagination. In particular, it is precisely the frontier of digital and technological changes that obliges social actors and socio-economic institutions to know how to intercept the dynamism of the transformations taking place, supporting the ability to imagine a desirable future, which goes in the intelligent direction of sustainability, of wellbeing and the ethical responsibility of one's actions. In this perspective, the reflection on the so-called future studies is inserted, which becomes a necessity, especially in times of change: If the rhythm of change increases, we need to look further, but future studies are also a philosophy of thought because the future is already part of our present life in the form of anticipation of the future; and this is all the more true as social changes are improvised and systemic complexity increasingly turbulent. Based on these statements, this study aims to analyze how the triple helix model-or rather the quintuple helix model-can be a reference paradigm for social and technological forecasting in a systemic attempt to look at the future of science, digital technology, society, economy, and their interactions, in order to promote social, economic and environmental benefits. From the social perspective, the model could provide guidance to improve the anticipatory profile of organizations and communities, helping to understand-in a short time-what the present actions will be: Predict, discover, and anticipate united in active participation, communication, knowledge, and action become so essential in the processes of production, as in the past it was the accumulation of capital, and also the ethical sensitivity begins to play an increasingly critical role.
当代社会面临的挑战是为未来规划可能的路径。在当前这种高度互联的情境下，人与技术以及人类与人工智能以极为复杂的方式相互交织，从而产生了多得超乎想象的多种可能的未来。尤其是数字和技术变革的前沿，迫使社会行为体和社会经济机构必须懂得如何把握正在发生的变革的动态，助力想象一个理想未来的能力，这个未来朝着可持续性、福祉以及自身行为的道德责任的明智方向发展。从这个角度来看，就引入了对所谓未来研究的思考，这在变革时期尤其成为一种必要：如果变革的节奏加快，我们就需要看得更远，但未来研究也是一种思想哲学，因为未来已经以对未来的预期形式成为我们当下生活的一部分；随着社会变革变得即兴且系统复杂性日益动荡，这一点就愈发正确。基于这些阐述，本研究旨在分析三重螺旋模型——或者更确切地说是五重螺旋模型——如何能够成为社会和技术预测的参考范式，以便从系统的角度审视科学、数字技术、社会、经济及其相互作用的未来，从而促进社会、经济和环境效益。从社会层面而言，该模型可为提升组织和社区的预期能力提供指导，有助于在短时间内理解当下的行动将会带来什么：预测、发现和预期在积极参与、沟通、知识和行动中融为一体，在生产过程中变得至关重要，就如同过去资本积累一样重要，而且道德敏感度也开始发挥越来越关键的作用。
