Famularo Simone, Milana Flavio, Cimino Matteo, Procopio Fabio, Costa Guido, Galvanin Jacopo, Paoluzzi Tomada Elisa, Bunino Francesca Margherita, Palmisano Angela, Donadon Matteo, Torzilli Guido
Department of Biomedical Sciences, Humanitas University, Pieve Emanuele, 20090 Milan, Italy.
Department of Hepatobiliary and General Surgery, IRCCS Humanitas Research Hospital, Rozzano, 20089 Milan, Italy.
Cancers (Basel). 2023 Jan 27;15(3):783. doi: 10.3390/cancers15030783.
Disease progression (PD) at neoadjuvant chemotherapy for patients with colorectal liver metastases (CLMs) is considered a contraindication to hepatic resection. Our aim was to estimate the overall survival (OS) in patients undergoing surgery compared with those treated exclusively with chemotherapy in cases of PD. Patients from a single centre with PD were analyzed and subdivided into two groups: hepatectomy (HEP) versus chemotherapy (CHT). An Inverse Probability Weighting (IPW) was run to balance the baseline differences between the two groups. A Cox regression was carried out on identifying factors predicting mortality. From 2010 to 2020, 105 patients in PD to at least one line of chemotherapy were analyzed. Of these, 27 (25.7%) underwent hepatic resection. After a median follow-up of 30 (IQR 14-46) months, 61.9% were dead. The OS values at 1 and 3 years were 54.4 and 10.6% for CHT, and 95 and 46.8% for HEP ( < 0.001). After IPW, two balanced pseudopopulations were obtained: HEP = 85 and CHT = 103. The OS values at 1 and 3 years were 54.4 and 10.6% for CHT, and 97.8 and 49.3% for HEP (HR 0.256, 95%CI: 0.08-0.78, = 0.033). After IPW, in the multivariate model, surgery resulted in the only protective variable (HR 0.198, 95%CI: 0.08-0.48, = 0.0016). Our results show that hepatic resection could offer a chance of a longer OS than the prosecution of chemotherapy only in originally resectable patients.
结直肠癌肝转移(CLM)患者新辅助化疗时的疾病进展(PD)被视为肝切除的禁忌证。我们的目的是评估手术患者与PD情况下单纯接受化疗患者的总生存期(OS)。对来自单一中心的PD患者进行分析并分为两组:肝切除术(HEP)组与化疗(CHT)组。采用逆概率加权法(IPW)来平衡两组之间的基线差异。进行Cox回归以确定预测死亡率的因素。2010年至2020年,分析了105例接受至少一线化疗且出现PD的患者。其中,27例(25.7%)接受了肝切除术。中位随访30(四分位间距14 - 46)个月后,61.9%的患者死亡。CHT组1年和3年的OS值分别为54.4%和10.6%,HEP组为95%和46.8%(P<0.001)。IPW后,获得了两个平衡的伪总体:HEP组 = 85例,CHT组 = 103例。CHT组1年和3年的OS值分别为54.4%和10.6%,HEP组为97.8%和49.3%(风险比0.256,95%置信区间:0.08 - 0.78,P = 0.033)。IPW后,在多变量模型中,手术是唯一的保护变量(风险比0.198,95%置信区间:0.08 - 0.48,P = 0.0016)。我们的结果表明,对于原本可切除的患者,肝切除可能比单纯进行化疗提供更长总生存期的机会。