Key Laboratory for Geographical Process Analysis & Simulation of Hubei Province, College of Urban and Environmental Science, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jan 25;20(3):2147. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20032147.
The impact of building the Belt and Road on the ecological environment and the health of the related cities along this belt deserves more attention. Currently, there are few relevant pieces of research in this area, and the problem of a time lag between the ecological environment and health (e.g., life expectancy, LE) has not been explored. This paper investigates the aforementioned problem based on five ecological indicators, i.e., normalized difference vegetation index, leaf area index, gross primary production (GPP), land surface temperature (LST), and wet, which were obtained from MODIS satellite remote-sensing products in 2010, 2015, and 2020. The research steps are as follows: firstly, a comprehensive ecological index (CEI) of the areas along the Belt and Road was calculated based on the principle of component analysis; secondly, the changes in the trends of the five ecological indicators and the CEI in the research area in the past 11 years were calculated by using the trend degree analysis method; then, the distributions of the cold and hot spots of each index in the research area were calculated via cold and hot spot analysis; finally, the time lag relationship between LE and the ecological environment was explored by using the proposed spatiotemporal lag spatial crosscorrelation analysis. The experimental results show that ① there is a positive correlation between LE and ecological environment quality in the study area; ② the ecological environment has a lagging impact on LE, and the impact of ecological indicators in 2010 on LE in 2020 is greater than that in 2015; ③ among the ecological indicators, GPP has the highest impact on LE, while LST and Wet have a negative correlation with LE.
“一带一路”建设对相关城市生态环境和健康的影响值得关注。目前,该领域相关研究较少,生态环境与健康(如预期寿命、LE)之间存在时间滞后问题。本文基于 2010、2015 和 2020 年 MODIS 卫星遥感产品获取的归一化植被指数、叶面积指数、总初级生产力(GPP)、地表温度(LST)和湿五个生态指标,探讨了上述问题。研究步骤如下:首先,基于主成分分析原理计算了“一带一路”沿线地区的综合生态指数(CEI);其次,采用趋势度分析方法计算了研究区过去 11 年五个生态指标和 CEI的变化趋势;然后,通过冷热点分析计算了研究区各指标的冷热点分布;最后,通过提出的时空滞后空间交叉相关分析探讨了 LE 与生态环境的时滞关系。实验结果表明:①研究区 LE 与生态环境质量呈正相关;②生态环境对 LE 存在滞后影响,2010 年生态指标对 2020 年 LE 的影响大于 2015 年;③在生态指标中,GPP 对 LE 的影响最大,而 LST 和湿与 LE 呈负相关。