Graduate School of Management, Management and Science University, University Drive, Off Persiaran Olahraga, Section 13, Shah Alam 40100, Malaysia.
Economics Institute, Henan Academy of Social Science, Zhengzhou 450002, China.
Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2023 Jan 30;20(3):2444. doi: 10.3390/ijerph20032444.
This paper constructs a low-carbon energy vulnerability system with the three dimensions of economy-society-environment, uses the entropy method to measure the low-carbon energy vulnerability index of Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries from 2002 to 2018, and observes the essential characteristics. On this basis, we analyze the impact of the development of the Information Communication Technology (ICT) service industry on the vulnerability of low-carbon energy and explore the moderating effects of technological innovation and resource consumption. This paper draws the following conclusions: (1) The low-carbon energy vulnerability of OECD countries shows a gradual downward trend, showing three stages of "continuous rise-declining volatility-low-level fluctuation". The low-carbon energy policies and implementation efforts in different countries have become the key to reducing the vulnerabilities of low-carbon energy in OECD countries. The economic and social vulnerabilities of low-carbon energy in most countries are outstanding. (2) The development of the ICT service industry benefits by reducing the vulnerability of low-carbon energy with a significant weakening effect, while high-vulnerability countries benefit even more. (3) In the weakening effect of the development of the ICT service industry on the vulnerability of low-carbon energy, technological innovation exerts an enhanced moderating effect, and resource consumption exerts a disruptive moderating effect. Technological innovation accelerates the weakening effect of the ICT service industry, and resource consumption is not conducive to the weakening effect of the ICT service industry. Based on this, we draw corresponding policy recommendations.
本文构建了一个包含经济-社会-环境三个维度的低碳能源脆弱性系统，利用熵值法测算了经合组织（OECD）国家 2002-2018 年的低碳能源脆弱性指数，并观察其本质特征。在此基础上，分析了信息通信技术（ICT）服务业发展对低碳能源脆弱性的影响，并探讨了技术创新和资源消耗的调节作用。本文得出以下结论：（1）OECD 国家的低碳能源脆弱性呈逐渐下降趋势，呈现“持续上升-下降波动-低水平波动”的三个阶段。不同国家的低碳能源政策和实施力度已成为降低 OECD 国家低碳能源脆弱性的关键。大多数国家的低碳能源经济和社会脆弱性较为突出。（2）ICT 服务业的发展通过显著减弱效应降低了低碳能源的脆弱性，而高脆弱性国家受益更多。（3）在 ICT 服务业发展对低碳能源脆弱性的减弱效应中，技术创新发挥了增强调节作用，而资源消耗发挥了破坏调节作用。技术创新加速了 ICT 服务业的减弱效应，而资源消耗不利于 ICT 服务业的减弱效应。在此基础上，我们提出了相应的政策建议。
