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五岁以下儿童疟疾特征及社会经济预测因素:对 11 个撒哈拉以南非洲国家的分析。

Malaria profile and socioeconomic predictors among under-five children: an analysis of 11 sub-Saharan African countries.

机构信息

Big Data Institute, Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK.

School of Health and Life Sciences, Teesside University, Middlesbrough, UK.

出版信息

Malar J. 2023 Feb 14;22(1):55. doi: 10.1186/s12936-023-04484-8.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

African region accounts for 95% of all malaria cases and 96% of malaria deaths with under-five children accounting for 80% of all deaths in the region. This study assessed the socioeconomic determinants of malaria prevalence and provide evidence on the socioeconomic profile of malaria infection among under-five children in 11 SSA countries.

METHODS

This study used data from the 2010 to 2020 Demographic and Health Survey (DHS). The survey used a two-stage stratified-cluster sampling design based on the sampling frame of the population and housing census of countries included. Statistical analyses relied on Pearson's χ2, using the CHAID decision-tree algorithm and logistic regression implemented in R V.4.6.

RESULTS

Of 8547 children considered, 24.2% (95% confidence interval CI 23.4-25.05%) had malaria infection. Also, the prevalence of malaria infection seems to increase with age. The following variables are statistically associated with the prevalence of malaria infection among under-five children: under-five child's age, maternal education, sex of household head, household wealth index, place of residence, and African region where mother-child pair lives. Children whose mothers have secondary education have about 56% lower risk (odds ratio = 0.44; 95% CI 0.40-0.48) of malaria infection and 73% lower (odds ratio = 0.37; 95% CI 0.32-0.43) among children living in the richest households, compared to children living in the poorest households.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study provide unique insights on how socioeconomic and demographic variables, especially maternal education level significantly predicts under-five malaria prevalence across the SSA region. Therefore, ensuring that malaria interventions are underpinned by a multisectoral approach that comprehensively tackles the interplay of maternal education and other socioeconomic variables will be critical in attaining malaria prevention and control targets in SSA.

摘要

背景

非洲区域占所有疟疾病例的 95%,占疟疾死亡人数的 96%,五岁以下儿童占该区域所有死亡人数的 80%。本研究评估了疟疾流行的社会经济决定因素,并提供了关于 11 个撒哈拉以南非洲国家五岁以下儿童疟疾感染的社会经济概况的证据。

方法

本研究使用了 2010 年至 2020 年人口与健康调查(DHS)的数据。该调查采用了基于所包含国家的人口和住房普查抽样框架的两阶段分层聚类抽样设计。统计分析依赖于 Pearson 的 χ2,使用 CHAID 决策树算法和在 R V.4.6 中实现的逻辑回归。

结果

在所考虑的 8547 名儿童中,24.2%(95%置信区间 CI 23.4-25.05%)患有疟疾感染。此外,疟疾感染的患病率似乎随着年龄的增长而增加。以下变量与五岁以下儿童疟疾感染的患病率呈统计学关联:五岁以下儿童的年龄、母亲的教育程度、家庭户主的性别、家庭财富指数、居住地点以及母婴所在的非洲区域。接受过中等教育的母亲的孩子患疟疾感染的风险降低了约 56%(比值比=0.44;95%置信区间 0.40-0.48),而居住在最富裕家庭的孩子的风险降低了 73%(比值比=0.37;95%置信区间 0.32-0.43),与居住在最贫困家庭的孩子相比。

结论

本研究的结果提供了独特的见解,说明社会经济和人口变量,特别是母亲的教育水平如何显著预测撒哈拉以南非洲地区五岁以下儿童的疟疾流行率。因此,确保疟疾干预措施以多部门方法为基础,全面解决母亲教育水平和其他社会经济变量的相互作用,对于实现撒哈拉以南非洲地区的疟疾预防和控制目标至关重要。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a763/9930312/2fd009824642/12936_2023_4484_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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