Rejali Mehri, Dashtaki Nadia Mohammadi, Ebrahimi Afshin, Heidari Asieh, Maracy Mohammad Reza
Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.
Environmental Health Engineering, School of Health, Isfahan University of Medical Sciences, Isfahan, Iran.
Adv Biomed Res. 2022 Dec 26;11:120. doi: 10.4103/abr.abr_90_21. eCollection 2022.
BACKGROUND: Climate change can facilitate the expansion of leishmaniasis and create the suitable habitat for vector and reservoir species. The objective of this study was to estimate the prevalence of cutaneous leishmaniasis (CL) at the climatic regions of Iran. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The literature search was conducted to identify all published studies reporting the prevalence or incidence of CL in humans in Iran. A total of 350 articles that reported leishmaniasis in Iran were retrieved, due to eligibility criteria, only 42 studies were selected to the final systematic review and meta-analysis procedure. Random effects meta-analysis was done with the estimate of heterogeneity being taken from an inverse-variance model. Subgroup analysis was conducted and it stratified the studies according to climatic regions. Between-study heterogeneity was assessed by using and Cochran's Q method value of heterogeneity. Meta regression was used to investigate factors potentially contributed the between-study heterogeneity. RESULTS: Individual studies showed that prevalence per 100,000 population estimated the range from 1.5 to 318.7 with the overall random pooled prevalence of 83.3 (95% confidence interval 74.5-92.1). Subgroup analysis by climatic regions showed that many studies were conducted in the desert areas and also, it has more prevalent than the other climatic regions. CONCLUSIONS: Leishmaniasis was more prevalent in regions with dry and desert climates than the other climatic regions. One of the advantages of this work is that the majority of selected studies have been conducted on population-base. However, some of the studies have been designed poorly or have had a lack of internal validity.
背景:气候变化可促使利什曼病传播范围扩大,并为病媒和宿主物种创造适宜的栖息地。本研究的目的是估计伊朗各气候区域皮肤利什曼病(CL)的患病率。 材料与方法:通过文献检索,找出所有已发表的关于伊朗人群CL患病率或发病率的研究。共检索到350篇报道伊朗利什曼病的文章,根据纳入标准,仅42项研究被选入最终的系统评价和荟萃分析程序。采用随机效应荟萃分析,异质性估计采用逆方差模型。进行亚组分析,根据气候区域对研究进行分层。采用I²和Cochran's Q方法评估研究间异质性(异质性I²值)。采用Meta回归分析研究间异质性的潜在影响因素。 结果:各研究显示,每10万人口的患病率估计范围为1.5至318.7,总体随机合并患病率为83.3(95%置信区间74.5 - 92.1)。按气候区域进行的亚组分析表明,许多研究是在沙漠地区开展的,而且该地区的患病率高于其他气候区域。 结论:利什曼病在干旱和沙漠气候地区比其他气候区域更为普遍。本研究的一个优点是,大多数入选研究是基于人群开展的。然而,一些研究设计不佳或缺乏内部效度。
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