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埃塞俄比亚的利什曼病:动物和人类患病率的系统评价与荟萃分析。

Leishmaniasis in Ethiopia: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prevalence in animals and humans.

作者信息

Assefa Ayalew

机构信息

Sekota Dryland Agricultural Research Center, P.O. Box 62, Sekota, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Heliyon. 2018 Aug 7;4(8):e00723. doi: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2018.e00723. eCollection 2018 Aug.

Abstract

Leishmaniasis is a neglected tropical disease caused by obligate intracellular protozoa of the genus . Ethiopia does not have an overall estimation of prevalence of leishmaniasis infection at a country level. The objective of this systematic review and meta-analysis was to summarize and pool estimates of studies that report the prevalence of leishmaniasis in Ethiopia. The literature search was conducted to identify all published studies reporting the prevalence of leishmaniasis with clearly designed inclusion and exclusion criteria. From all screened articles, 30 studies were eligible for final meta-analysis and systematic review. Because substantial heterogeneity was expected, random-effects meta-analyses were carried out using the total sample size and number of positives to estimate the prevalence of the disease at a country level. Between-study variability was high (τ = 0.02; heterogeneity I = 99.72% with Heterogeneity chi-square = 11985.41, a degree of freedom = 33 and P = 0.001). The overall random pooled prevalence of leishmaniasis was 19% (95% CI 14%-24%). Meta-regression analysis showed that diagnosis method used have contributed to the heterogeneity of studies. Molecular diagnosis has significantly lower prevalence than microscopic examination with a coefficient of -0.32, a p-value of 0.024, and CI 0.6-0.05). The result of effect estimates against its standard error showed there was no publication bias with a P value of 0.084. This review indicated that there is still a higher prevalence of Leishmaniasis in the country. Reporting on risk factors like sex and age affected, species of involved and many more other risk factors reviewing was not possible in this study due to lack of completeness in articles included. However, this report is an indication that the country needs nationally coordinated extensive prevention and control plan to reduce public health and socio-economic impact of the disease.

摘要

利什曼病是一种由利什曼原虫属专性细胞内原生动物引起的被忽视的热带病。埃塞俄比亚没有全国层面利什曼病感染患病率的总体估计。本系统评价和荟萃分析的目的是总结和汇总报告埃塞俄比亚利什曼病患病率的研究估计值。进行文献检索以识别所有发表的、采用明确设计的纳入和排除标准报告利什曼病患病率的研究。在所有筛选的文章中,有30项研究符合最终荟萃分析和系统评价的条件。由于预期存在显著异质性,因此使用总样本量和阳性数进行随机效应荟萃分析,以估计该国该疾病的患病率。研究间变异性较高(τ = 0.02;异质性I = 99.72%,异质性卡方 = 11985.41,自由度 = 33,P = 0.001)。利什曼病的总体随机合并患病率为19%(95%置信区间14% - 24%)。荟萃回归分析表明,所使用的诊断方法导致了研究的异质性。分子诊断的患病率显著低于显微镜检查,系数为 -0.32,p值为0.024,置信区间为0.6 - 0.05)。效应估计值相对于其标准误差的结果显示不存在发表偏倚,P值为0.084。该评价表明该国利什曼病的患病率仍然较高。由于纳入文章缺乏完整性,本研究无法报告诸如受影响的性别和年龄、所涉及的利什曼原虫种类以及更多其他风险因素等风险因素。然而,本报告表明该国需要全国协调的广泛预防和控制计划,以减少该疾病对公共卫生和社会经济的影响。

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