Calati Raffaella, Gentile Guendalina, Fornaro Michele, Madeddu Fabio, Tambuzzi Stefano, Zoja Riccardo
Department of Psychology, University of Milan-Bicocca, Milan, Italy.
Department of Adult Psychiatry, Nimes University Hospital, Nimes, France.
J Affect Disord Rep. 2023 Apr;12:100510. doi: 10.1016/j.jadr.2023.100510. Epub 2023 Feb 23.
BACKGROUND: The COVID-19 pandemic has been postulated to account for inflated rates of either suicides or homicides. Nonetheless, results are discordant, in particular concerning suicide. We aimed to perform a retrospective analysis of suicides and homicides in the region of Lombardy, Northern Italy (districts of Milan and Monza Brianza), the Italian region most seriously impacted by the pandemic outbreak. METHODS: Data were collected during the autopsies performed at the Institute of Forensic Medicine in Milan. We presented suicides and homicides in the years 2015-2021 and compared the year 2021 to 2019, a pre-COVID-19 year. RESULTS: Data may allow us to cautiously hypothesize a normalization of trends ("regression" to the mean effect) as time passes from the COVID-19 outbreak. LIMITATIONS: Limited number of events, in particular, homicides. CONCLUSIONS: Recording historical reports from the same region is warranted besides the comparisons across different countries.
背景：有人推测，新冠疫情导致自杀率或凶杀率虚高。然而，研究结果并不一致，尤其是在自杀方面。我们旨在对意大利北部伦巴第地区（米兰和蒙扎-布里安扎区）的自杀和凶杀事件进行回顾性分析，该地区是受疫情爆发影响最严重的意大利地区。 方法：数据收集于米兰法医学研究所进行的尸检过程中。我们呈现了2015年至2021年的自杀和凶杀事件，并将2021年与2019年（新冠疫情前的一年）进行了比较。 结果：数据或许能让我们谨慎地假设，随着时间从新冠疫情爆发开始推移，趋势会趋于正常化（“回归”到平均效应）。 局限性：事件数量有限，尤其是凶杀事件。 结论：除了在不同国家之间进行比较外，记录同一地区的历史报告也是有必要的。
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