Leković Aleksa, Nikolić Slobodan, Djukić Danica, Živković Vladimir
Institute of Forensic Medicine, University of Belgrade, Faculty of Medicine, Belgrade, Serbia.
Institute of Forensic Medicine, University of Belgrade, Faculty of Medicine, Belgrade, Serbia.
Forensic Sci Int. 2023 Apr;345:111618. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2023.111618. Epub 2023 Feb 27.
The Burn Index (BI) is a significant clinical prognostic parameter for patients with burns. It simultaneously considers major mortality risk factors: age and burns extensivity. Despite the inability to distinguish between ante- and post-mortem burns, their characteristics on autopsy might indicate if a significant thermal injury occurred before the onset of death. We investigated whether autopsy BI, burn extensivity, and severity could tell whether burns were the concurrent cause of fire-related death (FRD), even if the body remained in a fire.
Ten-year retrospective study analyzed FRD that occurred at the scene in a confined space. Soot aspiration was the main inclusion criterion. Autopsy reports were reviewed for demographic data, burn characteristics (degree, Total Body Surface Area burned- TBSA), coronary artery disease, and blood ethanol. We calculated the BI as a sum of the victim's age and percentage of TBSA affected by 2nd, 3rd and 4th-degree burns. Cases were divided into two groups: those with COHb≤ 30% and with COHb> 30%. Subjects with burned TBSA≤ 40% were analyzed separately afterward.
The study included 53 males (71.6%) and 21 females (28.4%). No significant difference in age was observed between groups (p > 0.05). COHb≤ 30% had 33, and COHb> 30% had 41 victims. BI and burns extensivity (TBSA) had significant negative correlation with COHb values (ρ = -0.581, p < 0.01 and ρ = -0.439, p < 0.01, respectively). Both were significantly higher in subjects with COHb≤ 30% compared to those with COHb> 30% (140.7 ± 29.57 vs. 95.49 ± 38.49, p < 0.01 and 98 (13-100) vs. 30 (0-100), p < 0.01, BI and TBSA respectively). BI had excellent and TBSA fair performance for detection of subjects with COHb≤ 30% on ROC curve analysis (AUCs 0.821, p < 0.001 and 0.765, p < 0.001), with optimal cut-off values: BI≥ 107 (sensitivity 81.3%, specificity 70.7%) and TBSA≥ 45 (sensitivity 84.8%, specificity 70.7%). On logistic regression analysis BI≥ 107 was independently associated with COHb≤ 30% values (aOR 6; 95%CI 1.55-23.37). The same holds for the presence of 3rd-degree burns (aOR 5.9; 95%CI 1.45-23.99). In the subgroup of subjects with TBSA≤ 40% burned, those with COHb≤ 50% were significantly older than victims with COHb> 50% (p < 0.05). Here BI≥ 85 was a particularly good predictor for detection of subjects with COHb≤ 50% (AUC=0.913, p < 0.001, 95% CI 0.813-1.00; sensitivity 90.9%, specificity 81%).
The BI≥ 107, TBSA≥ 45% burned, and 3rd-degree burns observed on autopsy point to a significantly higher odds that limited CO intoxication occurred, and burns should be considered a concurrent cause of indoor FRD. When less than 40% of TBSA was affected, BI≥ 85 indicated sub-lethal CO poisoning.
烧伤指数(BI)是烧伤患者重要的临床预后参数。它同时考虑了主要的死亡风险因素:年龄和烧伤面积。尽管无法区分生前和死后烧伤,但尸体解剖时其特征可能表明在死亡发生前是否发生了严重的热损伤。我们研究了尸体解剖时的BI、烧伤面积和严重程度能否判断烧伤是否为火灾相关死亡(FRD)的并发原因,即使尸体仍处于火灾中。
对在密闭空间现场发生的FRD进行了为期十年的回顾性研究。主要纳入标准是有烟尘吸入。查阅尸体解剖报告以获取人口统计学数据、烧伤特征(程度、烧伤总面积 - TBSA)、冠状动脉疾病和血液乙醇含量。我们将BI计算为受害者年龄与受二度、三度和四度烧伤影响的TBSA百分比之和。病例分为两组:一氧化碳血红蛋白(COHb)≤30%组和COHb>30%组。随后分别对烧伤TBSA≤40%的受试者进行分析。
该研究包括53名男性(71.6%)和21名女性(28.4%)。两组之间年龄无显著差异(p>0.05)。COHb≤30%组有33名受害者,COHb>30%组有41名受害者。BI和烧伤面积(TBSA)与COHb值呈显著负相关(分别为ρ = -0.581,p < 0.01和ρ = -0.439,p < 0.01)。与COHb>30%的受试者相比,COHb≤30%的受试者的BI和TBSA均显著更高(分别为140.7±29.57对95.49±38.49,p < 0.01;98(13 - 100)对30(0 - 100),p < 0.01,BI和TBSA)。在ROC曲线分析中,BI对检测COHb≤30%的受试者表现出色,TBSA表现良好(AUC分别为0.821,p < 0.001和0.765,p < 0.001),最佳截断值为:BI≥107(敏感性81.3%,特异性70.7%)和TBSA≥45(敏感性84.8%,特异性70.7%)。在逻辑回归分析中,BI≥107与COHb≤30%值独立相关(调整后比值比6;95%置信区间1.55 - 23.37)。三度烧伤的情况也是如此(调整后比值比5.9;95%置信区间1.45 - 23.99)。在烧伤TBSA≤40%的受试者亚组中,COHb≤50%的受试者比COHb>50%的受害者年龄显著更大(p < 0.05)。在此,BI≥85是检测COHb≤50%受试者的特别好的预测指标(AUC = 0.913,p < 0.001,95%置信区间0.813 - 1.00;敏感性90.9%,特异性81%)。
尸体解剖时观察到的BI≥107、TBSA≥45%烧伤和三度烧伤表明有限的一氧化碳中毒发生几率显著更高,烧伤应被视为室内FRD的并发原因。当TBSA受影响小于40%时,BI≥85表明存在亚致死性一氧化碳中毒。