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从封控到精准防控:从15分钟城市和时空规划视角调整疫情相关空间规则

From lockdown to precise prevention: Adjusting epidemic-related spatial regulations from the perspectives of the 15-minute city and spatiotemporal planning.

作者信息

Li Yanxi, Chai Yanwei, Chen Zifeng, Li Chunjiang

机构信息

College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Peking University, No.5 Yiheyuan Road, Beijing, China.

School of Geography and Planning, Sun Yat-sen University (East Campus), Room C402B, Panyu District, Guangzhou, China.

出版信息

Sustain Cities Soc. 2023 May;92:104490. doi: 10.1016/j.scs.2023.104490. Epub 2023 Feb 25.

Abstract

The COVID-19 pandemic challenged emergency management in cities worldwide. Many municipalities adopted restrictive, one-size-fits-all spatial regulations such as lockdowns without fully considering the inhabitants' daily activities and local economies. The existing epidemic regulations' unintended detrimental effects on socioeconomic sustainability necessitate a transition from the "lockdown" approach to more precise disease prevention. A spatially and temporally precise approach that balances epidemic prevention with the demands of daily activities and local economies is needed. Thus, the aim of this study was to propose a framework and key procedures for determining precise prevention regulations from the perspectives of the 15-minute city concept and spatiotemporal planning. Alternative regulations of lockdowns were determined by delineating 15-minute neighborhoods, identifying and reconfiguring facility supplies and activity demands in both normal and epidemic conditions, and performing cost-benefit analyses. Highly adaptable, spatially- and temporally-precise regulations can match the needs of different types of facilities. We demonstrated the process for determining precise prevention regulations in the case of the Jiulong 15-minute neighborhood in Beijing. Precise prevention regulations-which meet essential activity demands and are adaptable for different facility types, times, and neighborhoods-have implications for long-term urban planning and emergency management.

摘要

新冠疫情给全球城市的应急管理带来了挑战。许多城市采取了限制性的、一刀切的空间规定,如封锁措施,却没有充分考虑居民的日常活动和地方经济。现有防疫规定对社会经济可持续性产生的意外不利影响,使得有必要从“封锁”方式转向更精准的疾病预防。需要一种在空间和时间上精准的方法,在防疫与日常活动需求和地方经济之间取得平衡。因此,本研究的目的是从15分钟城市概念和时空规划的角度,提出一个确定精准预防规定的框架和关键程序。通过划定15分钟社区、识别和重新配置正常和疫情情况下的设施供应及活动需求,并进行成本效益分析,确定了封锁的替代规定。高度适应性强、在空间和时间上精准的规定能够匹配不同类型设施的需求。我们展示了在北京九龙15分钟社区案例中确定精准预防规定的过程。满足基本活动需求、适用于不同设施类型、时间和社区的精准预防规定,对长期城市规划和应急管理具有重要意义。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/4adf/9957973/48361ff408ce/gr1_lrg.jpg

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