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原子武器老兵是否患癌几率更高?针对健康士兵偏差的新研究结果。

Do Atomic Veterans have excess cancer? New results correcting for the healthy soldier bias.

作者信息

Bross I D, Bross N S

机构信息

Biomedical Metatechnology, Inc., Eggertsville, NY 14226.

出版信息

Am J Epidemiol. 1987 Dec;126(6):1042-50. doi: 10.1093/oxfordjournals.aje.a114743.

Abstract

Reanalysis of the National Research Council report on Mortality of Nuclear Weapons Test Participants, released June 4, 1985, shows 62% excess cancer among soldiers involved in nuclear weapons testing in 1957 codenamed PLUMBBOB, who had exposures to fallout of 300 mrem or more. Although the "healthy soldier bias" was discussed in the original report and a method of correcting for it was described, false negative results were reported because no correction was actually made. Correcting for the healthy soldier bias reveals excess digestive, respiratory, leukemia, and other cancers in PLUMBBOB participants whose reported doses were over 300 mrem.

摘要

对1985年6月4日发布的美国国家研究委员会关于核武器试验参与者死亡率的报告进行重新分析后发现,在1957年参与代号为“铅球”的核武器试验、受到300毫雷姆或更高沉降物辐射的士兵中,患癌率高出62%。尽管原始报告中讨论了“健康士兵偏差”并描述了一种校正方法,但由于实际上未进行校正,所以报告了假阴性结果。校正健康士兵偏差后发现,报告剂量超过300毫雷姆的“铅球”试验参与者存在消化系统、呼吸系统、白血病和其他癌症的超额患病情况。

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