Division of Internal Medicine, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
Faculty of Health Sciences, McMaster University, Hamilton, Ontario, Canada.
J Clin Epidemiol. 2023 May;157:1-12. doi: 10.1016/j.jclinepi.2023.02.010. Epub 2023 Mar 8.
Adaptive platforms allow for the evaluation of multiple interventions at a lower cost and have been growing in popularity, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. The objective of this review is to summarize published platform trials, examine specific methodological design features among these studies, and hopefully aid readers in the evaluation and interpretation of platform trial results.
We performed a systematic review of EMBASE, MEDLINE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), and clinicaltrials.gov from January 2015 to January 2022 for protocols or results of platform trials. Pairs of reviewers, working independently and in duplicate, collected data on trial characteristics of trial registrations, protocols, and publications of platform trials. We reported our results using total numbers and percentages, as well as medians with interquartile range (IQR) when appropriate.
We identified 15,277 unique search records and screened 14,403 titles and abstracts after duplicates were removed. We identified 98 unique randomized platform trials. Sixteen platform trials were sourced from a systematic review completed in 2019, which included platform trials reported prior to 2015. Most platform trials (n = 67, 68.3%) were registered between 2020 and 2022, coinciding with the COVID-19 pandemic. The included platform trials primarily recruited or plan to recruit patients from North America or Europe, with most subjects being recruited from the United States (n = 39, 39.7%) and the United Kingdom (n = 31, 31.6%). Bayesian methods were used in 28.6% (n = 28) of platform RCTs and frequentist methods in 66.3% (n = 65) of trials, including 1 (1%) that used methods from both paradigms. Out of the twenty-five trials with peer-reviewed publication of results, seven trials used Bayesian methods (28%), and of those, two (8%) used a predefined sample size calculation while the remainder used pre-specified probabilities of futility, harm, or benefit calculated at (pre-specified) intervals to inform decisions about stopping interventions or the entire trial. Seventeen (68%) peer-reviewed publications used frequentist methods. Out of the seven published Bayesian trials, seven (100%) reported thresholds for benefit. The threshold for benefit ranged from 80% to >99%.
We identified and summarized key components of platform trials, including the basics of the methodological and statistical considerations. Ultimately, improving standardization and reporting in platform trials require an understanding of the current landscape. We provide the most updated and rigorous review of platform trials to date.
自适应平台可以以更低的成本评估多种干预措施,并且在 COVID-19 大流行期间越来越受欢迎。本研究的目的是总结已发表的平台试验,研究这些研究中特定的方法设计特征,并希望帮助读者评估和解释平台试验结果。
我们对 EMBASE、MEDLINE、Cochrane 中央对照试验注册中心(CENTRAL)和 clinicaltrials.gov 进行了系统检索,检索时间为 2015 年 1 月至 2022 年 1 月,以获取平台试验方案或结果的信息。两名独立的审查员分别对试验注册、方案和出版物中的试验特征进行数据收集。我们使用总数和百分比以及中位数(四分位距[IQR])报告我们的结果。
我们共识别出 15277 个独特的检索记录,在去除重复项后筛选出 14403 篇标题和摘要。我们共确定了 98 项随机平台试验。其中 16 项平台试验源自 2019 年完成的一项系统评价,其中包括了在 2015 年前报告的平台试验。大多数平台试验(n=67,68.3%)是在 2020 年至 2022 年期间注册的,这与 COVID-19 大流行相吻合。纳入的平台试验主要招募或计划招募来自北美或欧洲的患者,其中大多数受试者来自美国(n=39,39.7%)和英国(n=31,31.6%)。28.6%(n=28)的平台 RCT 采用贝叶斯方法,66.3%(n=65)的试验采用频率论方法,其中 1 项(1%)同时采用了两种方法。在 25 项有同行评审结果发表的试验中,有 7 项采用了贝叶斯方法(28%),其中 2 项(8%)采用了预先规定的样本量计算方法,其余 5 项采用了预先规定的无效、伤害或获益的概率计算方法,在(预先规定的)间隔内进行计算,以便对停止干预或整个试验做出决策。17 项(68%)同行评审出版物采用了频率论方法。在已发表的 7 项贝叶斯试验中,有 7 项(100%)报告了获益阈值。获益阈值范围从 80%到>99%。
我们确定并总结了平台试验的关键组成部分,包括方法学和统计学考虑的基本原理。最终,要提高平台试验的标准化和报告水平,需要了解当前的情况。我们提供了迄今为止最全面和最严格的平台试验综述。