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中国安徽省 15 个欠发达县的面板数据对农村旅游减贫的可持续性研究。

Sustainability of rural tourism in poverty reduction: Evidence from panel data of 15 underdeveloped counties in Anhui Province, China.

机构信息

School of Economics and Management, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing, P.R. China.

China Construction Engineering Design and Research CO., LTD, Beijing, P.R. China.

出版信息

PLoS One. 2023 Mar 13;18(3):e0283048. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0283048. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Based on the characteristics of underdeveloped areas, this paper selects the panel data of 15 underdeveloped counties in Anhui Province from 2013 to 2019 and uses the panel threshold model to empirically analyze the sustainability of rural tourism development. The results show that: (1) Rural tourism development has a non-linear positive impact on poverty alleviation in underdeveloped areas and has a double threshold effect. (2) When the poverty rate is used to express the poverty level, it can be found that the development of rural tourism at a high level can significantly promote poverty alleviation. (3) When the number of poor people is used to express the poverty level, it can be found that the poverty reduction effect shows a marginal decreasing trend with the phased improvement of the development level of rural tourism. (4) The degree of government intervention, industrial structure, economic development, and fixed asset investment play a more significant role in poverty alleviation. Therefore, we believe that we need to actively promote rural tourism in underdeveloped areas, establish a mechanism for the distribution and sharing of rural tourism benefits, and form a long-term mechanism for rural tourism poverty reduction.

摘要

基于欠发达地区的特点,本文选取了 2013 年至 2019 年安徽省 15 个欠发达县的面板数据,采用面板门限模型实证分析了农村旅游发展的可持续性。结果表明:(1)农村旅游发展对欠发达地区的扶贫具有非线性的积极影响,并具有双重门限效应。(2)当用贫困发生率来表示贫困水平时,可以发现农村旅游的高水平发展可以显著促进扶贫。(3)当用贫困人口数量来表示贫困水平时,可以发现随着农村旅游发展水平的阶段性提高,减贫效果呈现边际递减趋势。(4)政府干预程度、产业结构、经济发展和固定资产投资对扶贫的作用更为显著。因此,我们认为有必要积极推动欠发达地区的农村旅游发展,建立农村旅游利益分配和共享机制,形成农村旅游扶贫的长效机制。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/791c/10010554/27481dd61b4f/pone.0283048.g001.jpg

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