School of Statistics and Mathematics, Zhongnan University of Economics and Law, Wuhan, P.R. China.
Department of Credit Management, Guangdong University of Finance, Guangzhou, P.R. China.
Stat Methods Med Res. 2023 May;32(5):904-926. doi: 10.1177/09622802231159213. Epub 2023 Mar 15.
With the aim of providing better estimation for count data with overdispersion and/or excess zeros, we develop a novel estimation method--for the zero-inflated negative binomial model, where the Poisson, negative binomial, and zero-inflated Poisson models are all included as its special cases. To facilitate the selection of the optimal weight vector, a -fold cross-validation technique is adopted. Unlike the jackknife model averaging discussed in Hansen and Racine (2012), the proposed method deletes one group of observations rather than only one observation to enhance the computational efficiency. Furthermore, we also theoretically prove the asymptotic optimality of the newly developed optimal weighting based on cross-validation method. Simulation studies and three empirical applications indicate the superiority of the presented optimal weighting based on cross-validation method when compared with the three commonly used information-based model selection methods and their model averaging counterparts.
为了更好地估计具有过分散和/或过多零值的计数数据,我们开发了一种新的估计方法——零膨胀负二项式模型,其中泊松模型、负二项式模型和零膨胀泊松模型都作为其特例包含在内。为了便于选择最优权重向量,我们采用了 - 折交叉验证技术。与 Hansen 和 Racine(2012)讨论的自举模型平均不同,该方法删除一组观测值而不是仅一个观测值,以提高计算效率。此外,我们还从理论上证明了基于交叉验证方法的新开发的最优加权的渐近最优性。模拟研究和三个实证应用表明,与三种常用的基于信息的模型选择方法及其模型平均对应方法相比,基于交叉验证的最优加权方法具有优越性。