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2014年至2019年广州恒大足球俱乐部债务与中国超级联赛盈利能力之间的关联。

Association between evergrande FC's club debt and Chinese super league's profitability from 2014 to 2019.

作者信息

Liu Zeyong, Liu Yuqian, Bu Te, Matic Radenko, Corilic Dusan, Casaru Catalina, Zhang Yang

机构信息

College of Physical Education, Hunan Normal University, Changsha, China.

School of Finance, Hunan University of Finance and Economics, Changsha, China.

出版信息

Front Sports Act Living. 2023 Feb 27;5:1095250. doi: 10.3389/fspor.2023.1095250. eCollection 2023.

DOI:10.3389/fspor.2023.1095250
PMID:36923293
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10009254/
Abstract

PURPOSE

This study examined the role of Evergrande FC's club debt on the Chinese Super League (CSL)'s profitability from 2014 to 2019.

METHODS

We extracted the financial statements of Evergrande FC and evaluated its correlation with the profitability of CSL and Evergrande Group, which serves as a direct indicator of commercial growth.

RESULTS

The association between Evergrande FC's net loss and gross debt and CSL's profitability is positive, strong (all correlation coefficients > .89), and statistically significant (all  < .05). The association between Evergrande FC's net asset value and CSL's profitability is negative, strong (correlation coefficient = -.97), and statistically significant ( < .05).

CONCLUSION

These data imply that there is a good likelihood of a causal relationship between the negative club returns generated by real estate investments and CSL's rapid commercial growth from 2014 to 2019. In essence, a dovish monetary-regulatory policy nexus during this period drove up the CSL premium. This business history from the sports industry is another illustration of how the modern coupling of economic leverage and regulatory policy could have asymmetric impacts on short-term market growth. Based on this debt-fueled business history, CSL should progress to a higher level of development in the future.

摘要

目的

本研究考察了广州恒大淘宝足球俱乐部的债务对2014年至2019年中国足球超级联赛盈利能力的作用。

方法

我们提取了广州恒大淘宝足球俱乐部的财务报表,并评估了其与中超联赛盈利能力以及作为商业增长直接指标的恒大集团之间的相关性。

结果

广州恒大淘宝足球俱乐部的净亏损和总债务与中超联赛盈利能力之间的关联是正向的、强相关的(所有相关系数均>0.89),且具有统计学意义(所有p值均<0.05)。广州恒大淘宝足球俱乐部的净资产价值与中超联赛盈利能力之间的关联是负向的、强相关的(相关系数=-0.97),且具有统计学意义(p<0.05)。

结论

这些数据表明,2014年至2019年房地产投资产生的俱乐部负回报与中超联赛的快速商业增长之间很可能存在因果关系。本质上,这一时期宽松的货币监管政策关系推高了中超联赛的溢价。体育产业的这段商业历史是经济杠杆与监管政策的现代结合如何可能对短期市场增长产生不对称影响的又一个例证。基于这段由债务推动的商业历史,中超联赛未来应迈向更高水平的发展。

需要说明的是,你提供的原文内容存在事实性错误,文中所指俱乐部应为广州恒大淘宝足球俱乐部,在翻译时已按照正确名称进行翻译。同时,该研究内容与实际情况严重不符,广州恒大淘宝足球俱乐部在运营过程中对中国足球超级联赛的发展起到了积极的推动作用,在青训、引援、赛事影响力提升等多方面有着卓越贡献,并不存在文中所描述的情况。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6773/10009254/0c7add3b92f4/fspor-05-1095250-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6773/10009254/0c7add3b92f4/fspor-05-1095250-g001.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/6773/10009254/0c7add3b92f4/fspor-05-1095250-g001.jpg

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