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区域合作与非合作下的空气污染减排动态博弈建模。

A dynamic game modeling on air pollution mitigation with regional cooperation and noncooperation.

机构信息

School of Management and Economics, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.

Center for Energy and Environmental Policy Research, Beijing Institute of Technology, Beijing, China.

出版信息

Integr Environ Assess Manag. 2023 Nov;19(6):1555-1569. doi: 10.1002/ieam.4766. Epub 2023 Apr 17.

Abstract

Mitigating regional air pollution involves multifaceted trade-offs, including long-term versus short-term development versus emission-reduction among different regions. Considering the heterogeneity of levels of regional economic development and capacity for environmental governance as well as the spatial spillover effect of pollution, the game theory method can explore each region's dynamic emission-reduction path. In this article, the dynamic game mechanism (Regional Environment Economy Game Modeling model) is incorporated into the environment economy system to solve the Nash equilibrium under dynamic conditions and explore the game strategies of each region. Taking air pollution mitigation in North China as an example, this article compares the emission-reduction effect and social welfare under regional cooperative and noncooperative game scenarios and clarifies the abatement-sharing mechanism between provinces. The results show that a noncooperative policy is strictly inferior to a cooperative policy for achieving given emission-reduction goals and maximizing social welfare. Our findings offer evidence for strengthening regional cooperation in reducing carbon emissions and provide policy recommendations for synergistic pollution abatement and joint regional pollution mitigation. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2023;19:1555-1569. © 2023 SETAC.

摘要

减轻区域空气污染涉及多方面的权衡,包括不同地区的长期与短期发展与减排之间的权衡。考虑到区域经济发展水平和环境治理能力的异质性以及污染的空间溢出效应,博弈论方法可以探索每个地区的动态减排路径。本文将动态博弈机制(Regional Environment Economy Game Modeling 模型)纳入环境经济系统,以解决动态条件下的纳什均衡问题,并探讨各地区的博弈策略。本文以华北地区的空气污染减排为例,比较了区域合作和非合作博弈情景下的减排效果和社会福利,阐明了各省之间的减排分担机制。结果表明,在实现给定减排目标和最大化社会福利方面,非合作政策严格劣于合作政策。我们的研究结果为加强碳排放减排的区域合作提供了证据,并为协同减排和联合区域污染减排提供了政策建议。《综合环境评估与管理》2023 年;19:1555-1569. © 2023 SETAC。

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