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2000 年至 2019 年期间印度人口 23 种主要癌症死亡率趋势分析:联合回归分析。

Analysis of the Mortality Trends of 23 Major Cancers in the Indian Population Between 2000 and 2019: A Joinpoint Regression Analysis.

机构信息

Amrita Institute of Medical Sciences, Amrita VishwaVidhyapeedham, Cochin, India.

Early Detection, Prevention and Infections Branch, International Agency for Research on Cancer, Lyon, France.

出版信息

JCO Glob Oncol. 2023 Mar;9:e2200405. doi: 10.1200/GO.22.00405.

Abstract

PURPOSE

Cancer mortality trends have not been documented across the population of India. We, therefore, analyzed the overall and individual cancer mortality trends for 23 major cancers between 2000 and 2019 on the basis of Global Health Observatory (GHO) database.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This study examined cancer mortality trends for 23 major cancer sites on the basis of 12.85 million cancer deaths obtained from the GHO of the WHO between 2000 and 2019. A joinpoint regression model was used to analyze the long-term trends of cancer mortality. Annual percentage change (APC) and average APC were estimated for various cancer sites.

RESULTS

Between 2000 and 2019, 12.85 million deaths occurred in India from 23 major cancers. The most common lethal cancers were mouth and oropharyngeal (15.6%), stomach (10.6%), lung (9.6%), breast (9%), and colorectal (8%) cancers. The mortality trend decreased by 0.19% annually among men and increased nonsignificantly by 0.25% among women; an increase of 0.02% was observed among combined sexes. Increasing mortality trends were seen among cancers of the lung, breast, colorectum, lymphoma, multiple myeloma, gallbladder, pancreas, kidney, and mesothelioma between 2000 and 2019. The highest annual increase in mortality was observed in pancreatic cancer among both sexes: 2.7%, 2.1% among men, and 3.7% in women. The cancers of the stomach, esophagus, leukemia, larynx, and melanoma showed a declining cancer mortality trend irrespective of sex.

CONCLUSION

A multifaceted strategy is required to tackle the rising cancer mortality rates in India; the best long-term strategy could be implementing awareness on cancer symptoms among the population as well as cancer prevention policies with improved health infrastructure and specifically dedicated human resources.

摘要

目的

印度的人口中尚未记录癌症死亡率趋势。因此,我们根据全球卫生观测站(GHO)数据库分析了 2000 年至 2019 年期间 23 种主要癌症的总体和个体癌症死亡率趋势。

材料和方法

本研究根据世界卫生组织全球卫生观测站(GHO)2000 年至 2019 年期间获得的 1285 万例癌症死亡数据,检查了 23 个主要癌症部位的癌症死亡率趋势。使用 Joinpoint 回归模型分析癌症死亡率的长期趋势。估计了各个癌症部位的年百分比变化(APC)和平均 APC。

结果

2000 年至 2019 年期间,印度有 1285 万人死于 23 种主要癌症。最常见的致命癌症是口腔和口咽癌(15.6%)、胃癌(10.6%)、肺癌(9.6%)、乳腺癌(9%)和结直肠癌(8%)。男性的死亡率趋势每年下降 0.19%,女性的死亡率趋势略有上升 0.25%;男女合计则观察到 0.02%的上升。2000 年至 2019 年间,肺癌、乳腺癌、结直肠癌、淋巴瘤、多发性骨髓瘤、胆囊癌、胰腺癌、肾癌和间皮瘤的死亡率呈上升趋势。男女两性中,胰腺癌的年死亡率增长最高,分别为 2.7%和 2.1%,女性为 3.7%。无论性别如何,胃癌、食管癌、白血病、喉癌和黑色素瘤的癌症死亡率均呈下降趋势。

结论

印度需要采取多方面的策略来应对癌症死亡率的上升;最好的长期策略可能是在人口中开展癌症症状宣传,实施癌症预防政策,改善卫生基础设施,专门配备人力资源。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/60d1/10497286/5c3f0e42a507/go-9-e2200405-g003.jpg

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