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分析地缘政治风险和经济政策不确定性对环境可持续性的影响:来自金砖国家的证据。

Analysing the impact of geopolitical risk and economic policy uncertainty on the environmental sustainability: evidence from BRICS countries.

机构信息

Henan Institute of Science and Technology, Xinxiang, 453003, China.

Business School, Zhengzhou University, Zhengzhou, Henan, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2024 Jul;31(34):46148-46162. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-26553-w. Epub 2023 Mar 23.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-26553-w
PMID:36952163
Abstract

This key article seeks to empirically examine the impact of geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty (EPU), natural resources, and renewable energy on a country's ecological footprint, a proxy for environmental sustainability on a national scale. We conducted a quantitative study using the cross-sectional autoregressive distributive lag, augmented mean group, and common correlated effect mean group estimation models, as well as a few tests such as the CD test, Westerlund's co-integration, and CIPS and CADF unit root tests, beginning in January 2000 and ending in January 2021, to determine the data's reliability. The findings indicate that while GPR and renewable energy sources lessen the ecological footprint (EF), EPU and the use of non-renewable energy enhance the EF. The study's scope is narrowed to the BRICS nations, but its implications for expanding existing knowledge and shaping policy are enormous. The results can aid decision-makers in preparing for the possibility of unexpected events causing harm to the economy. The reliability of the evidence can be strengthened by employing more stringent research methods. This study's dimensions reflect the current research paradigm. The research has policy implications for achieving sustainable development goals in emerging economies.

摘要

本文旨在通过实证研究,考察地缘政治风险、经济政策不确定性(EPU)、自然资源和可再生能源对一国生态足迹(衡量国家层面环境可持续性的指标)的影响。我们使用横截面自回归分布滞后模型、增强型均值组模型和共同相关效应均值组模型进行了定量研究,并进行了一些检验,如 CD 检验、Westerlund 协整检验、CIPS 和 CADF 单位根检验,数据时间范围为 2000 年 1 月至 2021 年 1 月,以确定数据的可靠性。研究结果表明,虽然 GPR 和可再生能源降低了生态足迹(EF),但 EPU 和非可再生能源的使用则增加了 EF。本研究的范围缩小到金砖国家,但对扩大现有知识和制定政策具有重要意义。研究结果可以帮助决策者为可能对经济造成损害的意外事件做好准备。通过采用更严格的研究方法,可以提高证据的可靠性。本研究的维度反映了当前的研究范式。本研究对新兴经济体实现可持续发展目标具有政策意义。

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