Strongin G L, Turetskaia A S, Gel'man B L, Rodionov O N
Kosm Biol Aviakosm Med. 1987 Sep-Oct;21(5):57-62.
The flying personnel of different age groups, including those who continued their professional activity and those who were grounded because of cardiovascular diseases, were followed up for a long period of time. The prognosis value, sensitivity, specificity of various risk factors, symptoms and syndromes of cardiovascular diseases were investigated. Using mathematical prediction methods (Wald's sequential nonhomogeneous statistical test), a diagnostic table for predicting outcomes of cardiovascular diseases for the immediate 5 years was developed. The table was checked and tested on a control sample. The trial showed that the table provided a better accuracy of prediction than the traditional methods normally used in the expertise practice.
对不同年龄组的飞行人员进行了长期随访,其中包括继续从事专业活动的人员以及因心血管疾病停飞的人员。研究了心血管疾病各种危险因素、症状和综合征的预后价值、敏感性和特异性。使用数学预测方法(瓦尔德序贯非齐次统计检验),制定了一份预测未来5年心血管疾病预后的诊断表。该表在对照样本上进行了检验和测试。试验表明,该表比专业实践中通常使用的传统方法具有更高的预测准确性。