Horta Ribeiro Manoel, Hosseinmardi Homa, West Robert, Watts Duncan J
School of Computer and Communication Sciences, EPFL, 1015 Lausanne, Philadelphia, Switzerland.
Computational Social Science Lab, University of Pennsylvania, PA 19104, USA.
PNAS Nexus. 2023 Mar 21;2(3):pgad035. doi: 10.1093/pnasnexus/pgad035. eCollection 2023 Mar.
Online platforms have banned ("deplatformed") influencers, communities, and even entire websites to reduce content deemed harmful. Deplatformed users often migrate to alternative platforms, which raises concerns about the effectiveness of deplatforming. Here, we study the deplatforming of Parler, a fringe social media platform, between 2020 January 11 and 2021 February 25, in the aftermath of the US Capitol riot. Using two large panels that capture longitudinal user-level activity across mainstream and fringe social media content ( = 112, 705, adjusted to be representative of US desktop and mobile users), we find that other fringe social media, such as Gab and Rumble, prospered after Parler's deplatforming. Further, the overall activity on fringe social media increased while Parler was offline. Using a difference-in-differences analysis ( = 996), we then identify the causal effect of deplatforming on active Parler users, finding that deplatforming increased the probability of daily activity across other fringe social media in early 2021 by 10.9 percentage points (pp) (95% CI [5.9 pp, 15.9 pp]) on desktop devices, and by 15.9 pp (95% CI [10.2 pp, 21.7 pp]) on mobile devices, without decreasing activity on fringe social media in general (including Parler). Our results indicate that the isolated deplatforming of a major fringe platform was ineffective at reducing overall user activity on fringe social media.
在线平台已经封禁(“下架”)了有影响力的人、社区,甚至整个网站,以减少被认为有害的内容。被下架的用户通常会迁移到其他平台,这引发了人们对下架措施有效性的担忧。在此,我们研究了边缘社交媒体平台Parler在美国国会大厦骚乱后于2020年1月11日至2021年2月25日期间被下架的情况。我们使用两个大型面板,记录了主流和边缘社交媒体内容中用户层面的纵向活动( = 112,705,经调整以代表美国桌面和移动用户),发现其他边缘社交媒体,如Gab和Rumble,在Parler被下架后繁荣起来。此外,在Parler下线期间,边缘社交媒体上的整体活动有所增加。然后,我们使用双重差分分析( = 996),确定了下架对活跃的Parler用户的因果效应,发现下架使2021年初其他边缘社交媒体上每日活动的概率在桌面设备上提高了10.9个百分点(pp)(95%置信区间[5.9 pp,15.9 pp]),在移动设备上提高了15.9个百分点(95%置信区间[10.2 pp,21.7 pp]),而总体上并没有降低边缘社交媒体(包括Parler)上的活动。我们的结果表明,对一个主要边缘平台的孤立下架在减少边缘社交媒体上的整体用户活动方面是无效的。