Zimmerman Linnea A, Desta Selamawit, Karp Celia, Yihdego Mahari, Seme Assefa, Shiferaw Solomon, Ahmed Saifuddin
Department of Population Family and Reproductive Health, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, United States of America.
PMA-Ethiopia, Addis Ababa University, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
PLOS Glob Public Health. 2021 Oct 13;1(10):e0000023. doi: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0000023. eCollection 2021.
To examine the effect of COVID-19 on health facility delivery in Ethiopia.
We used longitudinal data with a pre-post exposure to the pandemic to assess change in facility delivery patterns nationally and by urban and rural strata. We conducted design-based multivariable multinomial logistic regression comparing home, lower-level facility, and hospital delivery with date of birth as a spline term, with a knot indicating births before and on/after April 8, 2020.
Six regions in Ethiopia, covering 91% of the population.
Women were eligible to participate if they were currently pregnant or less than six weeks postpartum and were recontacted at six weeks, six months, and one year postpartum. 2,889 women were eligible and 2,855 enrolled. Data used in this paper come from the six-week interview, with a follow-up rate of 88.9% (2,537 women).
In urban areas, women who delivered during the COVID-19 pandemic had a 77% reduced relative risk of delivering in a hospital relative to women who delivered prior to the pandemic (aRRR: 0.23, 95% CI: 0.07-0.71). There were no significant differences between the pre- and COVID-19 periods within rural strata where the majority of women deliver at home (55.6%). Overall, the effect was non-significant at a national level. Among women who delivered during the COVID-19 pandemic, 20.0% of urban women said COVID-19 affected where they delivered relative to 8.7% of rural women (p-value = 0.01).
We found that delivery patterns in urban areas changed during the early months of the COVID-19 pandemic, but there was no evidence of large-scale declines of hospital delivery at the national level. Concerns about COVID-19 transmission in health facilities and ensuring lower-level facilities are equipped to address obstetric emergencies are critical to address. COVID-19 will likely slow progress towards increasing rates of institutional delivery in urban areas in Ethiopia.
研究新冠疫情对埃塞俄比亚医疗机构分娩情况的影响。
我们使用了在疫情前后的纵向数据,以评估全国以及城乡不同阶层医疗机构分娩模式的变化。我们进行了基于设计的多变量多项逻辑回归分析,将在家分娩、在基层医疗机构分娩和在医院分娩与出生日期作为样条项进行比较,其中一个节点表示2020年4月8日及之前的分娩和之后的分娩。
埃塞俄比亚的六个地区,覆盖91%的人口。
如果女性目前怀孕或产后不到六周,则有资格参与研究,并在产后六周、六个月和一年时再次接受访谈。2889名女性符合资格,2855名女性登记入组。本文使用的数据来自六周访谈,随访率为88.9%(2537名女性)。
在城市地区,与疫情前分娩的女性相比,在新冠疫情期间分娩的女性在医院分娩的相对风险降低了77%(调整后相对风险率:0.23,95%置信区间:0.07 - 0.71)。在农村阶层中,大多数女性在家分娩(55.6%),疫情前和新冠疫情期间没有显著差异。总体而言,在国家层面该影响不显著。在新冠疫情期间分娩的女性中,20.0%的城市女性表示新冠疫情影响了她们的分娩地点,而农村女性这一比例为8.7%(p值 = 0.01)。
我们发现,在新冠疫情的最初几个月里,城市地区的分娩模式发生了变化,但没有证据表明在国家层面医院分娩出现大规模下降。解决对医疗机构内新冠病毒传播的担忧以及确保基层医疗机构有能力应对产科紧急情况至关重要。新冠疫情可能会减缓埃塞俄比亚城市地区提高机构分娩率的进程。