Department of Global Health, School of Public Health, Peking University, Beijing, China.
School of Population Medicine and Public Health, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences/Peking Union Medical College, No. 31, Road 3Rd, Bei-Ji-Ge, Dongcheng District, Beijing, China.
Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2023 Aug;58(8):1193-1200. doi: 10.1007/s00127-023-02437-9. Epub 2023 Mar 28.
The SOE reform was the first time that economic insecurity was introduced since 1949 in China, with hundreds of million employees affected by the laid off. This study took the State-Owned Enterprises (SOE) reform in China as a natural experiment to explore the impact of economic insecurity on depressive symptoms in later life.
Data were obtained from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Survey (CHARLS), 2014 and 2015. CHARLS is a nationally representative survey covering 28 provinces in China. CHARLS used the probabilities proportional to size (PPS) sampling method and involved 450 villages/resident committees, 150 counties/districts and 12,400 households. A total of 5113 urban dwellers born earlier than 1971 (aged 25 years old and above at the start of the SOE reform, 1995) were involved. Using the province-level economic loss from the layoffs, we examined the impact of economic insecurity exposure on the score of depressive symptoms using a difference-in-differences model (DID).
Individuals with economic insecurity exposure had a significantly increased risk of higher depressive symptoms scores, in which a 1 percentage point increase in expected economic loss would increase the CESD-10 score by 0.10. For an individual at the median distribution (CESD-10 = 5), this implies a shift to the 58th percentile (CESD-10 = 6). Given that the average intensity of expected economic loss is 10.22% and the mean CESD-10 is 6.92, exposure to the SOE reform led to an average increase in the CESD-10 score by 1.02 and by at least 14.74%. The heterogeneity analyses showed that the role of SOE reform in depressive symptoms scores was robust in both female and male groups and groups with different educational attainment.
Economic insecurity exposure increased the depressive symptoms score later in life in the context of China. Programs, such as adequate unemployment insurance benefits, can protect individuals against the risk of financial loss, thereby reducing their negative impact on depressive symptoms. Providing mental symptoms surveillance and psychological counseling to those experienced at a time of great uncertainty is important for preventing depression in times of economic insecurity.
国企改革是 1949 年以来中国首次引入经济不安全感,数以亿计的员工受到下岗影响。本研究以中国的国有企业改革(SOE)为自然实验,探讨经济不安全感对晚年抑郁症状的影响。
数据来自中国健康与退休纵向调查(CHARLS)2014 年和 2015 年的数据。CHARLS 是一项全国代表性调查,覆盖中国 28 个省份。CHARLS 采用与规模成比例的概率(PPS)抽样方法,涉及 450 个村庄/居委会、150 个县/区和 12400 户家庭。共有 5113 名 1971 年以前出生的城市居民(国企改革开始时年龄在 25 岁及以上,即 1995 年)参与了调查。我们使用省级下岗经济损失数据,采用双重差分模型(DID)检验经济不安全暴露对抑郁症状评分的影响。
经济不安全暴露的个体患较高抑郁症状评分的风险显著增加,预期经济损失每增加 1 个百分点,CESD-10 评分增加 0.10。对于处于中位数分布(CESD-10=5)的个体,这意味着向第 58 百分位(CESD-10=6)转移。鉴于预期经济损失的平均强度为 10.22%,平均 CESD-10 为 6.92,国企改革导致 CESD-10 评分平均增加 1.02,至少增加 14.74%。异质性分析表明,在女性和男性群体以及不同教育程度群体中,国企改革在抑郁症状评分中的作用是稳健的。
在中国,经济不安全暴露会增加晚年的抑郁症状评分。充分的失业保险福利等计划可以保护个人免受经济损失的风险,从而降低其对抑郁症状的负面影响。在经济不安全时期,为经历重大不确定性的人提供精神症状监测和心理咨询非常重要,以预防抑郁。