Centro de Investigación Biomédica de Oriente, Delegación Puebla, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Puebla, México; Instituto de Fisiología, Benemérita Universidad Autónoma de Puebla, Puebla, México.
Hospital General de Zona 5, Delegación Puebla, Instituto Mexicano del Seguro Social, Puebla, México.
Arch Med Res. 2023 Apr;54(3):197-210. doi: 10.1016/j.arcmed.2023.03.003. Epub 2023 Mar 15.
Mexico is among the countries with the highest estimated excess mortality rates due to the COVID-19 pandemic, with more than half of reported deaths occurring in adults younger than 65 years old. Although this behavior is presumably influenced by the young demographics and the high prevalence of metabolic diseases, the underlying mechanisms have not been determined.
The age-stratified case fatality rate (CFR) was estimated in a prospective cohort with 245 hospitalized COVID-19 cases, followed through time, for the period October 2020-September 2021. Cellular and inflammatory parameters were exhaustively investigated in blood samples by laboratory test, multiparametric flow cytometry and multiplex immunoassays.
The CFR was 35.51%, with 55.2% of deaths recorded in middle-aged adults. On admission, hematological cell differentiation, physiological stress and inflammation parameters, showed distinctive profiles of potential prognostic value in patients under 65 at 7 days follow-up. Pre-existing metabolic conditions were identified as risk factors of poor outcomes. Chronic kidney disease (CKD), as single comorbidity or in combination with diabetes, had the highest risk for COVID-19 fatality. Of note, fatal outcomes in middle-aged patients were marked from admission by an inflammatory landscape and emergency myeloid hematopoiesis at the expense of functional lymphoid innate cells for antiviral immunosurveillance, including NK and dendritic cell subsets.
Comorbidities increased the development of imbalanced myeloid phenotype, rendering middle-aged individuals unable to effectively control SARS-CoV-2. A predictive signature of high-risk outcomes at day 7 of disease evolution as a tool for their early stratification in vulnerable populations is proposed.
墨西哥是 COVID-19 大流行导致估计超额死亡率最高的国家之一,超过一半的报告死亡发生在 65 岁以下的成年人中。尽管这种行为可能受到年轻人口结构和代谢性疾病高发的影响,但潜在机制尚未确定。
在一项前瞻性队列研究中,对 2020 年 10 月至 2021 年 9 月期间 245 例住院 COVID-19 病例进行了年龄分层的病死率(CFR)估计,并进行了随访。通过实验室检测、多参数流式细胞术和多重免疫分析,对血液样本中的细胞和炎症参数进行了详尽的研究。
CFR 为 35.51%,其中 55.2%的死亡发生在中年成年人中。入院时,血液细胞分化、生理应激和炎症参数在 7 天随访时表现出具有潜在预后价值的不同特征。先前存在的代谢状况被确定为不良结局的危险因素。慢性肾脏病(CKD)作为单一合并症或与糖尿病合并,是 COVID-19 死亡的最高风险因素。值得注意的是,中年患者的致命结局从入院时就以炎症景观和紧急髓系造血为特征,牺牲了功能性淋巴固有细胞的抗病毒免疫监视,包括 NK 和树突状细胞亚群。
合并症增加了不平衡髓样表型的发展,使中年个体无法有效控制 SARS-CoV-2。提出了一种在疾病进展的第 7 天作为高危结果预测指标的高危结局预测特征,作为对高危人群进行早期分层的工具。