Tang Haotian, Chen Wenying, Zhang Shu, Zhang Qianzhi
Research Center for Contemporary Management, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
Institute of Energy, Environment and Economy, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China.
iScience. 2023 Mar 7;26(4):106347. doi: 10.1016/j.isci.2023.106347. eCollection 2023 Apr 21.
China's carbon-neutral vision necessitates carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), which is still in its infancy due to inadequate infrastructure and indeterminate technology diffusion. To address the concerns, this study links spatially explicit CO source-sink matching with bottom-up energy-environment-economy planning to propose China's multi-sector-shared CCUS networks, with plant-level industrial transfer and infrastructure reuse considered. Nearly 19000-km trunk lines are needed by a capture of 1.74 Gt/yr in 2050, with 12-, 16-, 20-, and 24-inch pipelines enjoying the largest share of over 65%. Inspiringly, some CO routes accounting for 50% of the total length match well with the rights-of-way for oil and gas pipeline corridors. Regional cost-competitiveness improvement is observed given available offshore storage, with 0.2 Gt/yr redirected to the northern South China Sea. Furthermore, the interprovincial heterogeneity and intersectoral externality of CCUS scaling-up are unveiled, requiring a rational allocation of benefits and costs inherent in the value chains.
中国的碳中和愿景需要碳捕集、利用与封存(CCUS),但由于基础设施不足和技术扩散不确定,该技术仍处于起步阶段。为解决这些问题,本研究将空间明确的碳排放源汇匹配与自下而上的能源-环境-经济规划联系起来,提出了中国多部门共享的CCUS网络,并考虑了工厂层面的产业转移和基础设施再利用。到2050年,每年捕集1.74亿吨二氧化碳需要近19000公里的干线,其中12英寸、16英寸、20英寸和24英寸的管道占比最大,超过65%。令人鼓舞的是,占总长度50%的一些碳捕集路线与油气管道走廊的线路权匹配良好。考虑到可用的海上封存,区域成本竞争力有所提高,每年有0.2亿吨二氧化碳被重新导向中国南海北部。此外,还揭示了CCUS扩大规模的省际异质性和部门间外部性,这要求对价值链中固有的收益和成本进行合理分配。