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月食照亮了中世纪火山活动的时间和气候影响。

Lunar eclipses illuminate timing and climate impact of medieval volcanism.

机构信息

Climate Change Impacts and Risks in the Anthropocene (C-CIA), Institute for Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland.

GEOLAB, Université Clermont Auvergne, CNRS, Clermont-Ferrand, France.

出版信息

Nature. 2023 Apr;616(7955):90-95. doi: 10.1038/s41586-023-05751-z. Epub 2023 Apr 5.

Abstract

Explosive volcanism is a key contributor to climate variability on interannual to centennial timescales. Understanding the far-field societal impacts of eruption-forced climatic changes requires firm event chronologies and reliable estimates of both the burden and altitude (that is, tropospheric versus stratospheric) of volcanic sulfate aerosol. However, despite progress in ice-core dating, uncertainties remain in these key factors. This particularly hinders investigation of the role of large, temporally clustered eruptions during the High Medieval Period (HMP, 1100-1300 CE), which have been implicated in the transition from the warm Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age. Here we shed new light on explosive volcanism during the HMP, drawing on analysis of contemporary reports of total lunar eclipses, from which we derive a time series of stratospheric turbidity. By combining this new record with aerosol model simulations and tree-ring-based climate proxies, we refine the estimated dates of five notable eruptions and associate each with stratospheric aerosol veils. Five further eruptions, including one responsible for high sulfur deposition over Greenland circa 1182 CE, affected only the troposphere and had muted climatic consequences. Our findings offer support for further investigation of the decadal-scale to centennial-scale climate response to volcanic eruptions.

摘要

爆发性火山活动是导致气候在年际到百年时间尺度上变化的关键因素。要了解喷发引起的气候变化对远距离社会的影响,需要确定明确的事件年代序列,以及对火山硫酸盐气溶胶的负荷和高度(即对流层与平流层)进行可靠估计。然而,尽管在冰芯定年方面取得了进展,但这些关键因素仍存在不确定性。这尤其阻碍了对中世纪暖期(1100-1300CE)期间大量、时间上集中的喷发作用的研究,这些喷发被认为是从温暖的中世纪气候异常向小冰期转变的原因之一。在这里,我们利用对当时的月全食的完整记录的分析,为中世纪暖期的爆发性火山活动提供了新的认识,由此得出了平流层浑浊度的时间序列。通过将这个新记录与气溶胶模式模拟和基于树木年轮的气候代用指标相结合,我们改进了五次显著喷发的估计日期,并将每次喷发与平流层气溶胶云联系起来。另外五次喷发,包括大约在 1182CE 年导致格陵兰岛高硫沉积的那次喷发,仅影响对流层,对气候的影响较小。我们的发现为进一步研究火山喷发对气候的十年到百年尺度的响应提供了支持。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/a38c/10076221/6201200216f1/41586_2023_5751_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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