Prognostic factors in blunt chest trauma. Analysis of 652 cases.

All records of 652 patients treated for blunt chest trauma at Ullevål Hospital, Surgical Department 3, during the period 1973-1981 were analyzed for factors predictive of prognosis. Mortality for the whole group was 7.7%. Age, blood pressure on admission, the number of fractured ribs, the need for blood transfusions and the need for artificial ventilation were the most important predictors of prognosis. Mortality increased significantly when at least two extrathoracic injuries were present (22.6%). Intrathoracic injuries did not increase mortality in cases of isolated thoracic injuries. Combined thoraco-abdominal injuries carried a high mortality (25%), especially when the injury had resulted in rupture of the diaphragm (57.1%). There were no sex-related differences. The majority of the patients could be handled adequately with oxygen support, chest drainage, physiotherapy and pain relief. The incidence of bronchial infection, septicaemia and hypercoagulability was significantly higher for patients on ventilators than for patients breathing spontaneously. Mortality increased when septicaemia or bronchial infection was present (30.8 and 21.9%, respectively). The injury severity score (ISS) for the 50 patients who died in the hospital was similar to that of some other reports.