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胃旁路术后长期 2 型糖尿病缓解预测模型的准确性。

Accuracy of prediction models for long-term type 2 diabetes remission after gastric bypass.

机构信息

ICBAS - Instituto de Ciências Biomédicas Abel Salazar, UMIB-Unidade Multidisciplinar de Investigação Biomédica, Universidade Do Porto, Porto, Portugal.

ITR-Laboratory for Integrative and Translational Research in Population Health, Porto, Portugal.

出版信息

Acta Diabetol. 2023 Aug;60(8):1019-1026. doi: 10.1007/s00592-023-02092-1. Epub 2023 Apr 21.

DOI:10.1007/s00592-023-02092-1
PMID:37085634
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10289962/
Abstract

AIM

To evaluate the accuracy of DiaBetter, DiaRem, Ad-DiaRem and 5y-Ad-DiaRem scores' at predicting T2D remission 10 or more years after surgery.

METHODS

Patients with obesity and T2D (n = 126) submitted to RYGB with 10 or more years of follow-up. It was a unicentric trial. Pre-operative anthropometric and clinical data was retrieved to calculate DiaRem, DiaBetter, Ad-DiaRem and 5y-Ad-DiaRem scores, while a hospital visit was conducted to assess current diabetes status. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve was calculated as estimate of the scores' accuracy to predict long-term T2D remission.

RESULTS

Among the entire cohort (n = 126), 70 subjects (55.6%) achieved and maintained T2D remission 10 or more years after RYGB. The 5y-Ad-DiaRem score was the one that depicted the highest discriminative power (AUROC = 0.838) to predict long-term T2D remission when compared to DiaBetter (AUROC = 0.735), DiaRem (AUROC = 0.721) and Ad-DiaRem (AUROC = 0.720).

CONCLUSION

The score with highest accuracy to predict long-term T2D remission after RYGB surgery was the 5y-Ad-DiaRem. Yet, the available scores accuracy to predict T2D remission in the long term is still suboptimal, highlighting the unmet need for a better scoring system.

摘要

目的

评估 DiaBetter、DiaRem、Ad-DiaRem 和 5y-Ad-DiaRem 评分在预测手术后 10 年以上 T2D 缓解的准确性。

方法

对肥胖和 T2D 患者(n=126)进行 RYGB 手术,并进行 10 年以上的随访。这是一项单中心试验。回顾性收集术前的人体测量和临床数据,以计算 DiaRem、DiaBetter、Ad-DiaRem 和 5y-Ad-DiaRem 评分,同时进行一次医院就诊以评估当前的糖尿病状况。接受者操作特征曲线(AUROC)下面积被计算为评分预测长期 T2D 缓解的准确性估计。

结果

在整个队列(n=126)中,70 名患者(55.6%)在 RYGB 后 10 年或更长时间内实现并维持 T2D 缓解。与 DiaBetter(AUROC=0.735)、DiaRem(AUROC=0.721)和 Ad-DiaRem(AUROC=0.720)相比,5y-Ad-DiaRem 评分对预测长期 T2D 缓解的区分能力最高(AUROC=0.838)。

结论

预测 RYGB 术后长期 T2D 缓解的准确性最高的评分是 5y-Ad-DiaRem。然而,目前预测 T2D 缓解的评分准确性仍然不够理想,突出了对更好评分系统的需求。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ae9c/10289962/ca413aa8e26d/592_2023_2092_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ae9c/10289962/5dec6f4f2e59/592_2023_2092_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ae9c/10289962/868a885b053a/592_2023_2092_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ae9c/10289962/ca413aa8e26d/592_2023_2092_Fig3_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ae9c/10289962/5dec6f4f2e59/592_2023_2092_Fig1_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ae9c/10289962/868a885b053a/592_2023_2092_Fig2_HTML.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ae9c/10289962/ca413aa8e26d/592_2023_2092_Fig3_HTML.jpg

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Diabetes Metab. 2022 Jan;48(1):101282. doi: 10.1016/j.diabet.2021.101282. Epub 2021 Sep 18.
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