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制度与城市化对环境质量的影响:来自“一带一路”倡议国家的动态面板模型证据

The effect of institutions and urbanization on environmental quality: evidence from the Belt and Road Initiative countries using dynamic panel models.

作者信息

Hu Ziyu, Khan Hayat

机构信息

School of Public Administration, Hohai University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, 21100, China.

School of Economics and Management, Zhejiang University of Science and Technology, Hangzhou, Zhejiang, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 May;30(24):65746-65761. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-27031-z. Epub 2023 Apr 24.

DOI:10.1007/s11356-023-27031-z
PMID:37093370
Abstract

Increased globalization in urban areas raise energy consumption that leads to high carbon dioxide discharge and degrade environmental quality. Other economic activities also produce emission; however, a well-established institutional framework can overcome the issues of environmental degradation and minimize the effect of harmful factors on the environment. In this regard, this study investigates the effect of urbanization, energy consumption, and industrialization on carbon dioxide emission by taking into consideration the role of institutional quality in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) countries for the period of 2002 to 2019. Employing dynamic panel techniques, the results are in line with theories which show that increased urbanization, energy consumption, industrialization, and economic growth raise carbon dioxide emission and lead to environmental degradation. The study also found that international trade and political stability reduce emission; however, institutional quality as a whole positively affects carbon dioxide emission. The study also found a U-shape relationship between urbanization and carbon dioxide emission. The interaction term between institutional quality and urbanization significantly mitigates carbon dioxide emission and raise environmental sustainability. The findings of this study have considerable policy suggestions for the sample countries.

摘要

城市地区日益增长的全球化导致能源消耗增加,进而导致高二氧化碳排放并降低环境质量。其他经济活动也会产生排放;然而,一个完善的制度框架可以克服环境退化问题,并将有害因素对环境的影响降至最低。在这方面,本研究通过考虑2002年至2019年期间制度质量在“一带一路”倡议(BRI)国家中的作用,研究了城市化、能源消耗和工业化对二氧化碳排放的影响。采用动态面板技术,结果与理论相符,表明城市化、能源消耗、工业化和经济增长的增加会导致二氧化碳排放增加并导致环境退化。研究还发现,国际贸易和政治稳定会减少排放;然而,总体而言,制度质量对二氧化碳排放有积极影响。研究还发现城市化与二氧化碳排放之间存在U型关系。制度质量与城市化之间的交互项显著减少了二氧化碳排放并提高了环境可持续性。本研究的结果为样本国家提供了相当多的政策建议。

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