Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands
Department of Public Health, Erasmus MC, Rotterdam, Netherlands.
J Epidemiol Community Health. 2023 Jun;77(6):400-408. doi: 10.1136/jech-2023-220342. Epub 2023 Apr 24.
Studies of period changes in educational inequalities in mortality have shown important changes over time. It is unknown whether a birth cohort perspective paints the same picture. We compared changes in inequalities in mortality between a period and cohort perspective and explored mortality trends among low-educated and high-educated birth cohorts.
In 14 European countries, we collected and harmonised all-cause and cause-specific mortality data by education for adults aged 30-79 years in the period 1971-2015. Data reordered by birth cohort cover persons born between 1902 and 1976. Using direct standardisation, we calculated comparative mortality figures and resulting absolute and relative inequalities in mortality between low educated and high educated by birth cohort, sex and period.
Using a period perspective, absolute educational inequalities in mortality were generally stable or declining, and relative inequalities were mostly increasing. Using a cohort perspective, both absolute and relative inequalities increased in recent birth cohorts in several countries, especially among women. Mortality generally decreased across successive birth cohorts among the high educated, driven by mortality decreases from all causes, with the strongest reductions for cardiovascular disease mortality. Among the low educated, mortality stabilised or increased in cohorts born since the 1930s in particular for mortality from cardiovascular diseases, lung cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and alcohol-related causes.
Trends in mortality inequalities by birth cohort are less favourable than by calendar period. In many European countries, trends among more recently born generations are worrying. If current trends among younger birth cohorts persist, educational inequalities in mortality may further widen.
对死亡率教育不平等的时期变化的研究表明,随着时间的推移,这种不平等发生了重要变化。但目前尚不清楚从出生队列的角度来看是否也是如此。本研究比较了死亡率在时期和队列角度上的不平等变化,并探讨了低学历和高学历出生队列的死亡率趋势。
在 14 个欧洲国家,我们收集和协调了 1971 年至 2015 年期间 30-79 岁成年人的全因和死因特异性死亡率数据,按教育程度进行分类。按出生队列重新排序的数据涵盖了 1902 年至 1976 年期间出生的人群。我们使用直接标准化法,计算了出生队列、性别和时期之间的低学历和高学历人群的比较死亡率以及由此产生的死亡率绝对和相对不平等。
从时期的角度来看,死亡率的绝对教育不平等总体上是稳定的或下降的,而相对不平等大多在增加。从出生队列的角度来看,在几个国家的最近出生队列中,无论是绝对还是相对不平等都在增加,尤其是女性。高学历人群的死亡率在连续出生队列中普遍下降,这主要归因于所有原因导致的死亡率下降,其中心血管疾病死亡率的降幅最大。在低学历人群中,特别是心血管疾病、肺癌、慢性阻塞性肺疾病和与酒精相关的死因死亡率,自 20 世纪 30 年代以来出生的队列的死亡率趋于稳定或增加。
从出生队列来看,死亡率不平等的趋势不如按日历时期来看那么有利。在许多欧洲国家,最近几代人的趋势令人担忧。如果目前年轻出生队列的趋势持续下去,死亡率的教育不平等可能会进一步扩大。