School of Economics, Anhui University, Hefei, 230601, China.
Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 May;30(25):66867-66896. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-27012-2. Epub 2023 Apr 26.
The construction of green and low-carbon circular (GLC) development economic system is conducive to the promotion of "carbon peaking and carbon neutral." The level of GLC development in the Yangtze River Delta (YRD) region is related to the realization of the ambitious goal of "carbon peaking and carbon neutrality" in the region. This paper use principal component analysis (PCA) to process GLC development level of 41 cities in the YRD from 2008 to 2020. Then, we constructed panel Tobit model and threshold model from the perspective of industrial co-agglomeration and Internet utilization and empirically tested the influence of the two key variables on GLC development of the YRD. We found that (1) the YRD's level of GLC development showed a dynamic evolution trend of "fluctuation, convergence, and rise." The four provincial-level administrative regions of the YRD are in the order of GLC development level: Shanghai, Zhejiang, Jiangsu, and Anhui. (2) There is an inverted "U" Kuznets curve (KC) between industrial co-agglomeration and the development of GLC of the YRD. In the left segment of KC, the industrial co-agglomeration promotes GLC development of the YRD. In the right segment of KC, the industrial co-agglomeration inhibits GLC development of the YRD. Internet utilization enhances GLC development of the YRD. And the interaction of industrial co-agglomeration and Internet utilization cannot significantly enhance GLC development. (3) Double-threshold effect of opening-up is manifested as follows: industrial co-agglomeration on GLC development of the YRD goes through an insignificant-inhibited-improved evolutionary trajectory. Single-threshold effect of government intervention is manifested as follows: the impact of Internet utilization on GLC development of the YRD shifts from insignificant role to significant enhancement. In addition, there is an inverted-N type KC effect between industrialization and GLC development. Based on the above findings, we proposed suggestions in terms of industrial co-agglomeration, Internet-like digital technology application, anti-monopoly, and rational industrialization.
绿色低碳循环(GLC)发展经济体系的构建有利于促进“碳达峰、碳中和”。长三角(YRD)地区 GLC 发展水平关系到该地区实现“碳达峰、碳中和”的宏伟目标。本文利用主成分分析(PCA)方法,对 2008 年至 2020 年长三角 41 个城市的 GLC 发展水平进行了处理。然后,我们从产业集聚和互联网利用的角度构建了面板 Tobit 模型和门槛模型,实证检验了这两个关键变量对长三角 GLC 发展的影响。研究结果表明:(1)长三角 GLC 发展水平呈现出“波动、收敛、上升”的动态演进趋势。长三角四省市的 GLC 发展水平依次为:上海、浙江、江苏、安徽。(2)产业集聚与长三角 GLC 发展之间存在着倒“U”型库兹涅茨曲线(KC)。在 KC 的左半段,产业集聚促进了长三角 GLC 的发展。在 KC 的右半段,产业集聚抑制了长三角 GLC 的发展。互联网利用增强了长三角 GLC 的发展。而产业集聚与互联网利用的相互作用并不能显著增强 GLC 的发展。(3)开放的双重门槛效应表现为:产业集聚对长三角 GLC 发展的影响经历了一个从不显著抑制到改善的演进轨迹。政府干预的单门槛效应表现为:互联网利用对长三角 GLC 发展的影响从无足轻重转变为显著增强。此外,工业化与 GLC 发展之间存在着倒“N”型 KC 效应。基于以上发现,我们提出了在产业集聚、互联网数字技术应用、反垄断和合理工业化等方面的建议。