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基于 IFSS-前景理论和 VIKOR 方法的海绵城市 PPP 项目最优运营模式选择:中国的案例研究。

Optimal operation mode selection of sponge city PPP projects using IFSS-prospect theory and VIKOR approach: a case study in China.

机构信息

School of Management Engineering, Qingdao University of Technology, Qingdao, 266520, China.

出版信息

Environ Sci Pollut Res Int. 2023 Jun;30(26):68206-68226. doi: 10.1007/s11356-023-26854-0. Epub 2023 Apr 29.

Abstract

The construction of sponge city (SC) public private partnership (PPP) projects is considered to be a feasible measure to solve the "water problems" in China. To ensure the success of SC PPP projects, how to select an appropriate operation mode for SC PPP projects is an urgent problem to be solved. In this paper, first, the evaluation index system of operation mode is established from the aspects of project characteristics, government capabilities, project benefits, project implementation, and cooperative partnership. Second, the DEMATEL method and entropy method are introduced to overcome the drawbacks of a single method, and the combination weights are calculated by game theory. Finally, the decision-making model based on intuitionistic fuzzy soft set (IFSS)-prospect theory and VIKOR approach is constructed to select operation mode for SC PPP projects. In this paper, the framework is applied to select an operation mode for the Qingshan demonstration zone project, and its feasibility and effectiveness are verified through sensitivity analysis and comparative analysis. The results show that BOT is the optimal operation mode for SC PPP projects, and government capabilities and project implementation are critical factors to be considered when selecting an operation mode. This study can provide guidance to the government in the OMS of SC PPP projects and improve the sustainability of the projects.

摘要

建设海绵城市(SC)公私合作伙伴关系(PPP)项目被认为是解决中国“水问题”的可行措施。为确保 SC PPP 项目的成功,如何选择合适的 SC PPP 项目运营模式是亟待解决的问题。本文首先从项目特点、政府能力、项目效益、项目实施和合作伙伴关系等方面构建了运营模式评价指标体系。其次,引入 DEMATEL 方法和熵权法克服了单一方法的缺点,并通过博弈论计算组合权重。最后,构建了基于直觉模糊软集(IFSS)-前景理论和 VIKOR 方法的决策模型,用于选择 SC PPP 项目的运营模式。本文将该框架应用于青山示范区项目的运营模式选择,并通过敏感性分析和对比分析验证了其可行性和有效性。结果表明,BOT 是 SC PPP 项目的最优运营模式,政府能力和项目实施是选择运营模式时需要考虑的关键因素。本研究可为政府在 SC PPP 项目的运营管理中提供指导,提高项目的可持续性。

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