Department of Medicine, University of Kansas Medical Center, Kansas City, KS.
Allergy, Pulmonary, and Critical Care Division; Department of Medicine; University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI.
Am J Med Qual. 2023;38(3):147-153. doi: 10.1097/JMQ.0000000000000123. Epub 2023 May 1.
Early warning scores are algorithms designed to identify clinical deterioration. Current literature is predominantly in non-Veteran populations. Studies in Veterans are lacking. This study was a prospective quality improvement project deploying and assessing the National Early Warning Score (NEWS) at Kansas City VA Medical Center. Performance of NEWS was assessed as follows: discrimination for predicting a composite outcome of intensive care unit transfer or mortality within 24 hours via area under the receiver operating curve. A total of 4781 Veterans with 142 375 NEWS values were included. The NEWS area under the receiver operating curve for the composite outcome was 0.72 (95% CI, 0.71-0.74), indicating acceptable predictive accuracy. A NEWS of ≥7 was more likely associated with the composite outcome versus <7 (13.6% vs 0.8%; P < 0.001). This is one of the first studies to demonstrate successful deployment of NEWS in a Veteran population, with resultant important implications across the Veterans Health Administration.
早期预警评分是旨在识别临床恶化的算法。目前的文献主要集中在非退伍军人人群中。退伍军人的研究则相对较少。本研究是一项前瞻性质量改进项目,在堪萨斯城退伍军人医疗中心部署和评估国家早期预警评分(NEWS)。通过接受者操作特征曲线下的面积来评估 NEWS 的表现如下:预测 24 小时内转入重症监护病房或死亡的综合结果的区分度。共纳入 4781 名退伍军人和 142375 个 NEWS 值。复合结果的接收者操作特征曲线下的 NEWS 面积为 0.72(95%CI,0.71-0.74),表明具有可接受的预测准确性。与<7 相比,≥7 的 NEWS 更有可能与复合结果相关(13.6%比 0.8%;P<0.001)。这是首次在退伍军人人群中成功部署 NEWS 的研究之一,对退伍军人健康管理局产生了重要影响。