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建筑环境对巴西南部大中城市老年行人碰撞发生率的影响:空间分析。

Built environment influence on the incidence of elderly pedestrian collisions in a medium-large city in southern Brazil: a spatial analysis.

机构信息

Postgraduate Program in Health Sciences, State University of Maringa, Maringa, Parana, Brazil.

Medicine Department, State University of Maringa, Maringa, Parana, Brazil.

出版信息

Int J Inj Contr Saf Promot. 2023 Sep;30(3):428-438. doi: 10.1080/17457300.2023.2204503. Epub 2023 Apr 26.

Abstract

Trauma disproportionately affects vulnerable road users, especially the elderly. We analyzed the spatial distribution of elderly pedestrians struck by vehicles in the urban area of Maringa city, from 2014 to 2018. Hotspots were obtained by kernel density estimation and wavelet analysis. The relationship between spatial relative risks (RR) of elderly run-overs and the built environment was assessed through Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA). Incidents were more frequent in the central and southeast regions of the city, where the RR was up to 2.58 times higher. The QCA test found a significant association between elderly pedestrian victims and the presence of traffic lights, medical centers/hospitals, roundabouts and schools. There is an association between higher risk of elderly pedestrians collisions and specific elements of built environments in Maringa, providing fundamental data to help guide public policies to improve urban mobility aimed at protecting vulnerable road users and planning an age-friendly city.

摘要

创伤对弱势道路使用者(尤其是老年人)的影响更大。我们分析了 2014 年至 2018 年马雷格罗索市市区被车辆撞击的老年行人的空间分布情况。通过核密度估计和小波分析获得热点。通过定性比较分析(QCA)评估老年人被车撞倒的空间相对风险(RR)与建筑环境之间的关系。事故更频繁地发生在城市的中心和东南部地区,那里的 RR 高达 2.58 倍。QCA 测试发现老年人行人受害者与交通灯、医疗中心/医院、环岛和学校的存在之间存在显著关联。马雷格罗索市老年人行人碰撞的风险较高与特定的建筑环境元素之间存在关联,为帮助指导旨在保护弱势道路使用者和规划适合老年人居住的城市的改善城市交通流动性的公共政策提供了基本数据。

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