Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China.
Department of Medical Insurance, School of Public Health, Southeast University, Nanjing 210009, China.
Int Health. 2024 Mar 4;16(2):182-193. doi: 10.1093/inthealth/ihad033.
This study aimed to assess the long-term effects of size-specific particulate matter (PM) on frailty transitions in middle-aged and older Chinese adults.
We included 13 910 participants ≥45 y of age from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS) for 2015 and 2018 who were classified into three categories in 2015 according to their frailty states: robust, prefrail and frail. Air quality data were obtained from the National Urban Air Quality Real-time Publishing Platform. A two-level logistic regression model was used to examine the association between concentrations of PM and frailty transitions.
At baseline, the total number of robust, prefrail and frail participants were 7516 (54.0%), 4324 (31.1%) and 2070 (14.9%), respectively. Significant associations were found between PM concentrations and frailty transitions. For each 10 μg/m3 increase in the 3-y averaged 2.5-μm PM (PM2.5) concentrations, the risk of worsening in frailty increased in robust (odds ratio [OR] 1.06 [95% confidence interval {CI} 1.01 to 1.12]) and prefrail (OR 1.07 [95% CI 1.01 to 1.13]) participants, while the probability of improvement in frailty in prefrail (OR 0.91 [95% CI 0.84 to 0.98]) participants decreased. In addition, the associations of PM10 and coarse fraction of PM with frailty transitions showed similar patterns.
Long-term exposure to PM was associated with higher risks of worsening and lower risks of improvement in frailty among middle-aged and older adults in China.
本研究旨在评估特定粒径颗粒物(PM)对中国中老年人群脆弱转变的长期影响。
我们纳入了中国健康与退休纵向研究(CHARLS)中 2015 年和 2018 年年龄≥45 岁的 13910 名参与者,根据其脆弱状态在 2015 年分为三类:稳健、虚弱前期和虚弱。空气质量数据来自国家城市空气质量实时发布平台。采用两水平逻辑回归模型来检验 PM 浓度与脆弱转变之间的关系。
在基线时,稳健、虚弱前期和虚弱参与者的总数分别为 7516 人(54.0%)、4324 人(31.1%)和 2070 人(14.9%)。PM 浓度与脆弱转变之间存在显著关联。在 3 年平均 2.5μm 颗粒物(PM2.5)浓度每增加 10μg/m3,稳健(优势比[OR]1.06[95%置信区间{CI}1.01 至 1.12])和虚弱前期(OR 1.07[95%CI 1.01 至 1.13])参与者的脆弱恶化风险增加,而虚弱前期参与者的脆弱改善概率降低(OR 0.91[95%CI 0.84 至 0.98])。此外,PM10 和粗颗粒物分数与脆弱转变的关联呈现出相似的模式。
长期暴露于 PM 与中国中老年人群脆弱恶化风险增加和脆弱改善风险降低相关。