Andersson S
Acta Med Scand. 1986;219(4):359-66. doi: 10.1111/j.0954-6820.1986.tb03324.x.
Ninety-two patients with suspected unilateral deep venous thrombosis (DVT) in the lower limb were examined by thermography, plethysmography and phlebography. ROC analysis (Receiver Operating Characteristics) was used to evaluate discrimination thresholds and to compare thermography and plethysmography (four variables) with phlebography. The sensitivity of thermography, 85% (94% for out-patients), was higher than that of plethysmography (58-79%) for the discrimination thresholds chosen. The specificity of thermography was low, 39% (42% for out-patients) or 55%, if obvious relevant clinical findings were included in the evaluation. The specificity of plethysmography was much higher (80-97%). Optimum combination of the four plethysmographic variables showed predictive values of 93-94%, while combination of thermography and plethysmographic variables showed higher predictive values (95-97%), mostly because of a higher sensitivity of thermography for distal DVT. A possible reduction of the number of phlebographic examinations by at least 50% and a cost reduction of 25% could have been obtained without any appreciable loss of diagnostic accuracy. A follow-up study of 112 consecutive patients, examined according to the recommended screening method, showed a reduction of phlebographic examinations by 62%.
对92例疑似单侧下肢深静脉血栓形成(DVT)的患者进行了热成像、体积描记法和静脉造影检查。采用ROC分析(受试者操作特征分析)来评估鉴别阈值,并将热成像和体积描记法(四个变量)与静脉造影进行比较。对于所选择的鉴别阈值,热成像的敏感性为85%(门诊患者为94%),高于体积描记法(58 - 79%)。热成像的特异性较低,为39%(门诊患者为42%),如果在评估中纳入明显相关的临床发现,则特异性为55%。体积描记法的特异性要高得多(80 - 97%)。四个体积描记变量的最佳组合显示预测值为93 - 94%,而热成像和体积描记变量的组合显示出更高的预测值(95 - 97%),这主要是因为热成像对远端DVT的敏感性更高。在不显著降低诊断准确性的情况下,有可能将静脉造影检查的数量至少减少50%,成本降低25%。对112例连续患者按照推荐的筛查方法进行的随访研究显示,静脉造影检查减少了62%。