Department of Gastroenterology, Pancreatic Disease Centre, First Affiliated Hospital of Nanchang University, Nanchang, China.
Department of Gastroenterology, Affiliated Longhua People's Hospital, Southern Medical University, Shenzhen, 518109, China.
Surg Endosc. 2023 Aug;37(8):6246-6254. doi: 10.1007/s00464-023-10059-0. Epub 2023 May 15.
There has been great progress in the use of endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided drainage in acute pancreatitis patients using a novel lumen-apposing metal stent (LAMS) in the last decade, but some patients experience bleeding. Our research analyzed the preprocedural risk factors for bleeding.
From July 13, 2016 to June 23, 2021, we retrospectively analyzed all patients who received endoscopic drainage by the LAMS in our hospital. Univariate and multivariate statistical analyses were used to identify the independent risk factors. We plotted ROC curves based on the independent risk factors.
A total of 205 patients were analyzed and 5 patients were excluded. A total of 200 patients were included in our research. Thirty (15%) patients presented with bleeding. In the multivariate analysis, computed tomography severity index score (CTSI) score [odds ratio (OR), 2.66; 95% CI: 1.31-5.38; P = 0.007], positive blood cultures [odds ratio (OR), 5.35; 95% CI: 1.31-21.9; P = 0.02], and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) score [odds ratio (OR), 1.14; 95% CI: 1. 01-1.29; P = 0.045] were associated with bleeding. The area under the ROC curve of the combined predictive indicator was 0.79.
Bleeding in endoscopic drainage by the LAMS is significantly associated with the CTSI score, positive blood cultures, and APACHE II score. This result could help clinicians make more appropriate choices.
在过去十年中,使用新型内镜超声引导引流术(EUS)和新型 lumen-apposing 金属支架(LAMS)治疗急性胰腺炎患者取得了很大进展,但部分患者出现出血。我们的研究分析了出血的术前危险因素。
我们回顾性分析了 2016 年 7 月 13 日至 2021 年 6 月 23 日期间在我院接受 LAMS 内镜引流的所有患者。采用单因素和多因素统计分析确定独立危险因素。我们根据独立危险因素绘制 ROC 曲线。
共分析了 205 例患者,排除 5 例。共有 200 例患者纳入研究。30 例(15%)患者出现出血。多因素分析显示,计算机断层扫描严重程度指数评分(CTSI)评分[比值比(OR),2.66;95%可信区间:1.31-5.38;P=0.007]、血培养阳性[比值比(OR),5.35;95%可信区间:1.31-21.9;P=0.02]和急性生理学和慢性健康评估 II(APACHE II)评分[比值比(OR),1.14;95%可信区间:1.01-1.29;P=0.045]与出血相关。联合预测指标的 ROC 曲线下面积为 0.79。
LAMS 内镜引流出血与 CTSI 评分、血培养阳性和 APACHE II 评分显著相关。该结果有助于临床医生做出更合适的选择。