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2010-2020 年中国老年人无残疾预期寿命的变化趋势及性别差异。

Change trend and gender differences in disability-free life expectancy among older adults in China, 2010-2020.

机构信息

School of International Economics and Trade, Shanghai Lixin University of Accounting and Finance, Shanghai, China.

School of Social Development and Public Policy, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.

出版信息

Front Public Health. 2023 May 10;11:1167490. doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2023.1167490. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

OBJECTIVE

The goal of the present study was to investigate gender differences in disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) and DFLE/LE ratio among older adults in China; portray changing trend from 2010 to 2020; and discuss the implications for public policies.

METHODS

Mortality data and disability rate data were derived from the Sixth China Population Census in 2010 and the Seventh China Population Census in 2020. The study assessed disability status of older adults based on self-assessment health in the above censuses. Life table and Sullivan method were used to estimate LE, DFLE, and DFLE/LE ratio by gender.

RESULTS

DFLE increased from 19.33 to 21.78 years for 60-year-old males, while from 21.94 to 24.80 years for 60-year-old females, from 2010 to 2020, respectively. DFLE/LE ratio was 96.40% for 60-year-old males and 94.86% for 60-year-old females in 2010, while DFLE/LE ratio was 96.63% for 60-year-old males and 95.44% for 60-year-old females in 2020, respectively. In terms of gender differences in DFLE/LE ratio, men aged 60 are 1.19 percentage points higher than women at the same age; men aged 70 are 1.71 percentage points higher than women; men aged 80 are 2.87 percentage points higher than women.

CONCLUSION

From 2010 to 2020, the DFLE of China's male and female older adults increased simultaneously with the increase of LE, and the DFLE/LE ratio also increased. However, the DFLE/LE ratio of female older adults is lower than that of male at the same age, and this gender difference is narrowing over the decade but has not yet been eliminated, especially the health disadvantage of female older adults among the oldest old age group (age 80 and above) is more prominent.

摘要

目的

本研究旨在探讨中国老年人群中无残疾预期寿命(DFLE)和 DFLE/LE 比值的性别差异;描述 2010 年至 2020 年期间的变化趋势;并讨论对公共政策的影响。

方法

死亡率数据和残疾率数据来源于 2010 年第六次全国人口普查和 2020 年第七次全国人口普查。本研究根据上述两次人口普查中的自我评估健康状况来评估老年人的残疾状况。使用寿命表和沙利文法,按性别估算 LE、DFLE 和 DFLE/LE 比值。

结果

从 2010 年到 2020 年,60 岁男性的 DFLE 从 19.33 年增加到 21.78 年,60 岁女性的 DFLE 从 21.94 年增加到 24.80 年。2010 年,60 岁男性的 DFLE/LE 比值为 96.40%,60 岁女性的 DFLE/LE 比值为 94.86%;2020 年,60 岁男性的 DFLE/LE 比值为 96.63%,60 岁女性的 DFLE/LE 比值为 95.44%。在 DFLE/LE 比值的性别差异方面,60 岁男性比同年龄女性高 1.19 个百分点,70 岁男性比同年龄女性高 1.71 个百分点,80 岁男性比同年龄女性高 2.87 个百分点。

结论

2010 年至 2020 年,中国男女老年人的 DFLE 与 LE 同步增长,DFLE/LE 比值也随之增加。然而,女性老年人的 DFLE/LE 比值低于同年龄男性,且这种性别差异在这十年间虽有所缩小但尚未消除,尤其是在最老年人群体(80 岁及以上)中,女性老年人的健康劣势更为明显。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/3751/10206111/430020871313/fpubh-11-1167490-g001.jpg

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