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埃塞俄比亚部分三级护理医院儿科重症监护病房收治患者的生存状况及死亡预测因素:一项前瞻性观察研究

Survival Status and Predictors of Mortality Among Patients Admitted to Pediatric Intensive Care Unit at Selected Tertiary Care Hospitals in Ethiopia: A Prospective Observational Study.

作者信息

Bacha Amente Jorise, Gadisa Diriba Alemayehu, Gudeta Mesay Dechasa, Beressa Tamirat Bekele, Negera Getandale Zeleke

机构信息

Department of Pharmacy, Clinical Pharmacy Unit, Ambo University, Ambo, Ethiopia.

Department of Pharmacy, Pharmacology Unit, Ambo University, Ambo, Ethiopia.

出版信息

Clin Med Insights Pediatr. 2023 May 29;17:11795565231169498. doi: 10.1177/11795565231169498. eCollection 2023.

DOI:10.1177/11795565231169498
PMID:37284002
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10240865/
Abstract

BACKGROUND

Advances in pediatric intensive care have dramatically improved the prognosis for critically ill patients. The study aimed to determine the survival status and predictors of mortality among patients admitted to the pediatric intensive care unit at selected tertiary care hospitals in Ethiopia.

METHODS

A health facility-based prospective observational study from October 2020 to May 30, 2021, was conducted in a selected tertiary care hospital in Ethiopia. Kaplan Meier was used to compare patient survival experiences and Cox regression was used to identify independent predictors of ICU mortality. The hazard ratio was used as a measure of the strength of the association, and a -value of <.05 was considered to declare statistical significance.

RESULTS

Of 206 study participants, 59 (28.6%) patients died during follow-up time, and the incidence of mortality was 3.6 deaths per 100 person-day observation (95% CI: 2.04-5.04 deaths per 100 person-days). Respiratory failure 19 (32.2%) was the commonest cause of death followed by septic shock 11(18.6). In-ICU complications (AHR: 2.13; 95% CI: 1.02, 4.42;  = .04), sepsis diagnosis (AHR: 2.43; 95% CI: 1.24, 4.78;  = .01), GCS < 8 (AHR: 1.96; 95% CI: 1.12, 3.43;  = .02), use of sedative drugs (AHR: 2.40; 95% CI: 1.16, 4.95;  = .02) were linked with increased risk of in-ICU mortality. In contrast, the use of mechanical ventilation was associated with decreased mortality (AHR: 0.45; 95% CI: 0.21, 0.92;  = .03).

CONCLUSION

The study found a high incidence of in-ICU mortality among admitted pediatric patients in selected Ethiopian tertiary care hospitals. In-ICU complications, sepsis diagnosis, GCS < 8, and patient use of sedative drugs were independent predictors of in-ICU mortality. Prudent follow-up is warranted for those patients with the aforementioned risk factors.

摘要

背景

儿科重症监护的进展显著改善了危重症患者的预后。本研究旨在确定埃塞俄比亚选定的三级护理医院儿科重症监护病房收治患者的生存状况及死亡预测因素。

方法

2020年10月至2021年5月30日,在埃塞俄比亚一家选定的三级护理医院开展了一项基于医疗机构的前瞻性观察研究。采用Kaplan Meier法比较患者的生存经历,采用Cox回归法确定重症监护病房死亡的独立预测因素。风险比用作关联强度的度量指标,P值<0.05被视为具有统计学显著性。

结果

206名研究参与者中,59名(28.6%)患者在随访期间死亡,死亡率为每100人日观察中有3.6例死亡(95%置信区间:每100人日2.04 - 5.04例死亡)。呼吸衰竭19例(32.2%)是最常见的死亡原因,其次是感染性休克11例(18.6%)。重症监护病房内并发症(风险比:2.13;95%置信区间:1.02, 4.42;P = 0.04)、脓毒症诊断(风险比:2.43;95%置信区间:1.24, 4.78;P = 0.01)、格拉斯哥昏迷评分<8分(风险比:1.96;95%置信区间:1.12, 3.43;P = 0.02)、使用镇静药物(风险比:2.40;95%置信区间:1.16, 4.95;P = 0.02)与重症监护病房内死亡风险增加相关。相比之下,使用机械通气与死亡率降低相关(风险比:0.45;95%置信区间:0.21, 0.92;P = 0.03)。

结论

该研究发现埃塞俄比亚选定的三级护理医院收治的儿科患者重症监护病房内死亡率较高。重症监护病房内并发症、脓毒症诊断、格拉斯哥昏迷评分<8分以及患者使用镇静药物是重症监护病房内死亡的独立预测因素。对于有上述危险因素的患者,有必要进行谨慎的随访。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/d3734988337a/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/3cb3314a7ba6/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/55ddb9dbb1f6/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/0559cded577a/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/74ae90d39e01/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/3fa04f48d614/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/d3734988337a/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig6.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/3cb3314a7ba6/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/55ddb9dbb1f6/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/0559cded577a/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/74ae90d39e01/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/3fa04f48d614/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/9c6d/10240865/d3734988337a/10.1177_11795565231169498-fig6.jpg

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