The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies, Vienna, Austria.
Department of Economics and Management "Marco Fanno", University of Padua, Padua, Italy.
Environ Monit Assess. 2023 Jun 13;195(7):836. doi: 10.1007/s10661-023-11403-6.
The linkages between the emergence of zoonotic diseases and ecosystem degradation have been widely acknowledged by the scientific community and policy makers. In this paper we investigate the relationship between human overexploitation of natural resources, represented by the Human Appropriation of Net Primary Production Index (HANPP) and the spread of Covid-19 cases during the first pandemic wave in 730 regions of 63 countries worldwide. Using a Bayesian estimation technique, we highlight the significant role of HANPP as a driver of Covid-19 diffusion, besides confirming the well-known impact of population size and the effects of other socio-economic variables. We believe that these findings could be relevant for policy makers in their effort towards a more sustainable intensive agriculture and responsible urbanisation.
人畜共患病的出现与生态系统退化之间的联系已被科学界和政策制定者广泛认可。在本文中,我们研究了人类对自然资源的过度开发(以净初级生产力指数(HANPP)来表示)与全球 63 个国家的 730 个地区在首次大流行期间新冠病例传播之间的关系。我们使用贝叶斯估计技术,强调了 HANPP 作为新冠病毒扩散的驱动因素的重要作用,同时也证实了人口规模和其他社会经济变量的影响。我们认为,这些发现对于政策制定者在努力实现更可持续的集约农业和负责任的城市化方面可能具有重要意义。