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中国急性大面积脑梗死血管内治疗的成本效果分析。

Cost-effectiveness of endovascular therapy for acute ischemic stroke with large infarct in China.

机构信息

Interventional Neuroradiology, Department of Neurology, Beijing Tiantan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.

China National Clinical Research Centre for Neurological Diseases, Beijing, China.

出版信息

J Neurointerv Surg. 2024 Apr 23;16(5):453-458. doi: 10.1136/jnis-2023-020466.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Endovascular therapy administered within 24 hours has been shown to improve outcomes for patients with acute ischemic stroke with large infarction, but the data on its cost-effectiveness are limited.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness of endovascular therapy for acute ischemic stroke with large infarction in China, the largest low- and middle-income country.

METHODS

A short-term decision tree model and a long-term Markov model were used to analyze the cost-effectiveness of endovascular therapy for patients with acute ischemic stroke with large infarction. Outcomes, transition probability, and cost data were obtained from a recent clinical trial and published literature. The benefit of endovascular therapy was assessed by the cost per quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) gained in the short and long term. Deterministic one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the robustness of the results.

RESULTS

Compared with medical management alone, endovascular therapy for acute ischemic stroke with large infarction was found to be cost-effective from the fourth year onward and during a lifetime. In the long term, endovascular therapy yielded a lifetime gain of 1.33 QALYs at an additional cost of ¥73 900 (US$ 11 400), resulting in an incremental cost of ¥55 500 (US$ 8530) per QALY gained. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed that endovascular therapy was cost-effective in 99.5% of the simulation runs at a willingness-to-pay threshold of ¥243 000 (3 × gross domestic product per capita of China in 2021) per QALY gained.

CONCLUSIONS

Endovascular therapy for acute ischemic stroke with large infarction could be cost-effective in China.

摘要

背景

在 24 小时内进行的血管内治疗已被证明可改善大面积脑梗死急性缺血性脑卒中患者的预后,但关于其成本效益的数据有限。

目的

评估血管内治疗在中国(最大的中低收入国家)治疗大面积脑梗死急性缺血性脑卒中的成本效益。

方法

采用短期决策树模型和长期马尔可夫模型分析血管内治疗大面积脑梗死急性缺血性脑卒中患者的成本效益。使用最近的临床试验和已发表的文献获得结局、转移概率和成本数据。通过短期和长期的每质量调整生命年(QALY)成本来评估血管内治疗的获益。进行确定性单因素和概率敏感性分析以评估结果的稳健性。

结果

与单独的药物治疗相比,对于大面积脑梗死急性缺血性脑卒中患者,血管内治疗在第四年及以后以及在整个生命周期内均具有成本效益。从长期来看,血管内治疗可使患者在整个生命周期内额外获得 1.33 个 QALY,额外成本为 73900 元人民币(11400 美元),每获得一个额外的 QALY 的增量成本为 55500 元人民币(8530 美元)。概率敏感性分析表明,在支付意愿阈值为 243000 元人民币(2021 年中国人均国内生产总值的 3 倍)/QALY 时,血管内治疗在模拟运行的 99.5%中具有成本效益。

结论

血管内治疗大面积脑梗死急性缺血性脑卒中在中国具有成本效益。

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