文献检索文档翻译深度研究
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件
邀请有礼套餐&价格历史记录

新学期,新优惠

限时优惠:9月1日-9月22日

30天高级会员仅需29元

1天体验卡首发特惠仅需5.99元

了解详情
不再提醒
插件&应用
Suppr Zotero 插件Zotero 插件浏览器插件Mac 客户端Windows 客户端微信小程序
高级版
套餐订阅购买积分包
AI 工具
文献检索文档翻译深度研究
关于我们
关于 Suppr公司介绍联系我们用户协议隐私条款
关注我们

Suppr 超能文献

核心技术专利:CN118964589B侵权必究
粤ICP备2023148730 号-1Suppr @ 2025

全球、区域和国家镰状细胞病的患病率和死亡负担,2000-2021 年:2021 年全球疾病负担研究的系统分析。

Global, regional, and national prevalence and mortality burden of sickle cell disease, 2000-2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

出版信息

Lancet Haematol. 2023 Aug;10(8):e585-e599. doi: 10.1016/S2352-3026(23)00118-7. Epub 2023 Jun 15.


DOI:10.1016/S2352-3026(23)00118-7
PMID:37331373
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC10390339/
Abstract

BACKGROUND: Previous global analyses, with known underdiagnosis and single cause per death attribution systems, provide only a small insight into the suspected high population health effect of sickle cell disease. Completed as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021, this study delivers a comprehensive global assessment of prevalence of sickle cell disease and mortality burden by age and sex for 204 countries and territories from 2000 to 2021. METHODS: We estimated cause-specific sickle cell disease mortality using standardised GBD approaches, in which each death is assigned to a single underlying cause, to estimate mortality rates from the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-coded vital registration, surveillance, and verbal autopsy data. In parallel, our goal was to estimate a more accurate account of sickle cell disease health burden using four types of epidemiological data on sickle cell disease: birth incidence, age-specific prevalence, with-condition mortality (total deaths), and excess mortality (excess deaths). Systematic reviews, supplemented with ICD-coded hospital discharge and insurance claims data, informed this modelling approach. We employed DisMod-MR 2.1 to triangulate between these measures-borrowing strength from predictive covariates and across age, time, and geography-and generated internally consistent estimates of incidence, prevalence, and mortality for three distinct genotypes of sickle cell disease: homozygous sickle cell disease and severe sickle cell β-thalassaemia, sickle-haemoglobin C disease, and mild sickle cell β-thalassaemia. Summing the three models yielded final estimates of incidence at birth, prevalence by age and sex, and total sickle cell disease mortality, the latter of which was compared directly against cause-specific mortality estimates to evaluate differences in mortality burden assessment and implications for the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). FINDINGS: Between 2000 and 2021, national incidence rates of sickle cell disease were relatively stable, but total births of babies with sickle cell disease increased globally by 13·7% (95% uncertainty interval 11·1-16·5), to 515 000 (425 000-614 000), primarily due to population growth in the Caribbean and western and central sub-Saharan Africa. The number of people living with sickle cell disease globally increased by 41·4% (38·3-44·9), from 5·46 million (4·62-6·45) in 2000 to 7·74 million (6·51-9·2) in 2021. We estimated 34 400 (25 000-45 200) cause-specific all-age deaths globally in 2021, but total sickle cell disease mortality burden was nearly 11-times higher at 376 000 (303 000-467 000). In children younger than 5 years, there were 81 100 (58 800-108 000) deaths, ranking total sickle cell disease mortality as 12th (compared to 40th for cause-specific sickle cell disease mortality) across all causes estimated by the GBD in 2021. INTERPRETATION: Our findings show a strikingly high contribution of sickle cell disease to all-cause mortality that is not apparent when each death is assigned to only a single cause. Sickle cell disease mortality burden is highest in children, especially in countries with the greatest under-5 mortality rates. Without comprehensive strategies to address morbidity and mortality associated with sickle cell disease, attainment of SDG 3.1, 3.2, and 3.4 is uncertain. Widespread data gaps and correspondingly high uncertainty in the estimates highlight the urgent need for routine and sustained surveillance efforts, further research to assess the contribution of conditions associated with sickle cell disease, and widespread deployment of evidence-based prevention and treatment for those with sickle cell disease. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

摘要

背景:之前的全球分析由于诊断不足和采用单一死因归因系统,因此只能对镰状细胞病对人口健康的潜在高影响有初步了解。本研究作为 2021 年全球疾病、伤害和危险因素研究(GBD)的一部分完成,对 204 个国家和地区 2000 年至 2021 年的镰状细胞病患病率和死亡率负担进行了全面的全球评估,该研究按年龄和性别评估了镰状细胞病的死亡率。

方法:我们使用标准化的 GBD 方法估计特定病因的镰状细胞病死亡率,该方法将每个死亡归因于单一根本原因,以根据国际疾病分类(ICD)编码的生命登记、监测和死因推断数据来估计死亡率。同时,我们的目标是使用镰状细胞病的四种流行病学数据来更准确地估算镰状细胞病的健康负担:发病情况、特定年龄的患病率、有病症死亡率(总死亡人数)和超额死亡率(超额死亡人数)。系统评价补充了 ICD 编码的住院和保险理赔数据,为这种建模方法提供了信息。我们使用 DisMod-MR 2.1 对这些措施进行三角剖分——借用预测性协变量的优势,跨越年龄、时间和地理,并为三种不同基因型的镰状细胞病(纯合镰状细胞病和严重镰状细胞β-地中海贫血、镰状血红蛋白 C 病和轻度镰状细胞β-地中海贫血)生成发病率、患病率和死亡率的内部一致估计。将这三个模型相加,得出出生时的发病率、按年龄和性别划分的患病率以及总镰状细胞病死亡率的最终估计值,然后将后者与特定病因的死亡率估计值进行比较,以评估死亡率负担评估的差异及其对可持续发展目标(SDG)的影响。

发现:2000 年至 2021 年,镰状细胞病的国家发病率相对稳定,但全球患有镰状细胞病的婴儿总出生人数增加了 13.7%(95%置信区间为 11.1%至 16.5%),达到 51.5 万(42.5 万至 61.4 万),主要是加勒比地区和撒哈拉以南非洲西部和中部人口增长所致。全球镰状细胞病患者人数增加了 41.4%(38.3%至 44.9%),从 2000 年的 546 万(462 万至 645 万)增加到 2021 年的 774 万(651 万至 920 万)。我们估计全球 2021 年有 34400 人(25000 人至 45200 人)死于所有年龄的特定病因,但镰状细胞病的总死亡率负担几乎高出 11 倍,为 376000 人(303000 人至 467000 人)。在 5 岁以下儿童中,有 81100 人(58800 人至 108000 人)死亡,在 2021 年全球疾病负担中,镰状细胞病总死亡率在所有病因中排名第 12 位(而特定病因镰状细胞病死亡率则排名第 40 位)。

解释:我们的研究结果表明,镰状细胞病对所有死因的死亡率贡献巨大,而当每个死亡都归因于单一病因时,这一点并不明显。在儿童中,镰状细胞病死亡率负担最高,尤其是在 5 岁以下儿童死亡率最高的国家。如果没有全面的策略来解决与镰状细胞病相关的发病率和死亡率,那么实现可持续发展目标 3.1、3.2 和 3.4 的目标将难以实现。数据差距广泛存在,估计值的不确定性也很高,这突出表明迫切需要进行常规和持续的监测工作,进一步研究评估与镰状细胞病相关的疾病的贡献,并广泛部署针对镰状细胞病患者的循证预防和治疗方法。

资助:比尔及梅琳达·盖茨基金会。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/27b981377af7/gr5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/59663e0c92f2/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/829944b814d1/gr2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/9d91709192b2/gr3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/3710867d6b9d/gr4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/27b981377af7/gr5.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/59663e0c92f2/gr1.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/829944b814d1/gr2.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/9d91709192b2/gr3.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/3710867d6b9d/gr4.jpg
https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/321b/10390339/27b981377af7/gr5.jpg

相似文献

[1]
Global, regional, and national prevalence and mortality burden of sickle cell disease, 2000-2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet Haematol. 2023-8

[2]
Global burden of 288 causes of death and life expectancy decomposition in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-5-18

[3]
Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of death in 195 countries and territories, 1980-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

Lancet. 2018-11-8

[4]
Global, regional, and national age-sex specific all-cause and cause-specific mortality for 240 causes of death, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013.

Lancet. 2014-12-18

[5]
Global, regional, and national life expectancy, all-cause mortality, and cause-specific mortality for 249 causes of death, 1980-2015: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2015.

Lancet. 2016-10-8

[6]
The global, regional, and national burden of cirrhosis by cause in 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

Lancet Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2020-1-22

[7]
Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950-2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet. 2024-5-18

[8]
Global, regional, and national incidence and mortality burden of non-COVID-19 lower respiratory infections and aetiologies, 1990-2021: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2024-9

[9]
Global, regional, and national age-specific progress towards the 2020 milestones of the WHO End TB Strategy: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Lancet Infect Dis. 2024-7

[10]
Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality and life expectancy, 1950-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017.

Lancet. 2018-11-8

引用本文的文献

[1]
Measurement of fatigue in sickle cell disease: a systematic review of fatigue measures.

Orphanet J Rare Dis. 2025-9-3

[2]
Global burden and trends of stroke attributable to kidney dysfunction from 1990 to 2021.

Clin Kidney J. 2025-5-23

[3]
Prenatal diagnosis of rare genetic disorders: fourteen years' experience of a tertiary genetic centre from India.

Orphanet J Rare Dis. 2025-9-2

[4]
Burden of tuberculosis in Eastern Africa region from 1990-2021: A systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2021 Study.

PLoS One. 2025-9-2

[5]
Factors Influencing Knowledge, Attitudes, and Practices Regarding Sickle Cell Disease Among the Tharu Community in Bardiya District, Nepal.

Inquiry. 2025

[6]
Integration of newborn screening for sickle cell disease into primary health care in Bukavu, Democratic Republic of the Congo: a pilot study.

BMC Prim Care. 2025-8-30

[7]
Role of and Genetic Polymorphisms in Hydroxyurea Pharmacokinetics.

Life (Basel). 2025-8-13

[8]
Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Crizanlizumab in Sickle Cell Disease in Iran.

Iran J Med Sci. 2025-8-1

[9]
Healthcare utilisation among people living with sickle cell disease in the Upper West Region of Ghana.

BMC Health Serv Res. 2025-8-25

[10]
"Her hospital card is missing": a qualitative investigation into the facilitators of and barriers to formal healthcare use among sickle cell patients in Ghana.

BMC Prim Care. 2025-8-25

本文引用的文献

[1]
Sickle Cell Disease in Children and Adolescents: A Review of the Historical, Clinical, and Public Health Perspective of Sub-Saharan Africa and Beyond.

Int J Pediatr. 2022-10-8

[2]
Improving Outcomes for Patients With Sickle Cell Disease in the United States: Making the Case for More Resources, Surveillance, and Longitudinal Data.

JAMA Health Forum. 2021-10-1

[3]
Estimating the risk of child mortality attributable to sickle cell anaemia in sub-Saharan Africa: a retrospective, multicentre, case-control study.

Lancet Haematol. 2022-3

[4]
Clinical outcomes of COVID-19 in patients with sickle cell disease and sickle cell trait: A critical appraisal of the literature.

Blood Rev. 2022-5

[5]
Accounting for misclassified and unknown cause of death data in vital registration systems for estimating trends in HIV mortality.

J Int AIDS Soc. 2021-9

[6]
Child mortality from sickle cell disease in Nigeria: a model-estimated, population-level analysis of data from the 2018 Demographic and Health Survey.

Lancet Haematol. 2021-10

[7]
Treatment of Acute Pain in Adults With Sickle Cell Disease in an Infusion Center Versus the Emergency Department : A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study.

Ann Intern Med. 2021-9

[8]
Prophylactic antibiotics for preventing pneumococcal infection in children with sickle cell disease.

Cochrane Database Syst Rev. 2021-3-8

[9]
Improving the accuracy of ICD-10 coding of morbidity/mortality data through the introduction of an electronic diagnostic terminology tool at the general hospitals in Lagos, Nigeria.

BMJ Open Qual. 2021-3

[10]
Sickle cell disease: progress towards combination drug therapy.

Br J Haematol. 2021-7

文献AI研究员

20分钟写一篇综述,助力文献阅读效率提升50倍

立即体验

用中文搜PubMed

大模型驱动的PubMed中文搜索引擎

马上搜索

推荐工具

医学文档翻译智能文献检索